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发展中国家的双胞胎现象。

Twinning across the Developing World.

机构信息

Nijmegen Center for Economics, Institute for Management Research, Radboud University Nijmegen, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2011;6(9):e25239. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0025239. Epub 2011 Sep 28.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Until now, little was known about the variation in incidence of twin births across developing countries, because national representative data was lacking. This study provides the first comprehensive overview of national twinning rates across the developing world on the basis of reliable survey data.

METHODS

Data on incidence of twinning was extracted from birth histories of women aged 15-49 interviewed in 150 Demographic and Health Surveys, held between 1987 and 2010 in 75 low and middle income countries. During the interview, information on all live births experienced by the women was recorded, including whether it was a singleton or multiple birth. Information was available for 2.47 million births experienced by 1.38 million women in a period of ten years before the interview. Twinning incidence was measured as the number of twin births per thousand births. Data for China were computed on the basis of published figures from the 1990 census. Both natural and age-standardized twinning rates are presented.

RESULTS/CONCLUSIONS: The very low natural twinning rates of 6-9 per thousand births previously observed in some East Asian countries turn out to be the dominant pattern in the whole South and South-East Asian region. Very high twinning rates of above 18 per thousand are not restricted to Nigeria (until now seen as the world's twinning champion) but found in most Central-African countries. Twinning rates in Latin America turn out to be as low as those in Asia. Changes over time are small and not in a specific direction.

SIGNIFICANCE

We provide the most complete and comparable overview of twinning rates across the developing world currently possible.

摘要

背景

由于缺乏国家代表性数据,此前人们对发展中国家双胞胎出生率的差异知之甚少。本研究基于可靠的调查数据,首次全面概述了发展中国家的全国双胞胎出生率。

方法

从 1987 年至 2010 年在 75 个中低收入国家进行的 150 次人口与健康调查中,15-49 岁女性的生育史中提取出双胞胎出生率数据。在访谈期间,记录了女性经历的所有活产信息,包括单胎或多胎。在访谈前十年内,有 138 万名女性共经历了 247 万次分娩,这些信息可用于本研究。双胞胎出生率以每千次分娩中的双胞胎出生数来衡量。中国的数据是根据 1990 年普查公布的数据计算得出的。本研究呈现了自然和年龄标准化的双胞胎出生率。

结果/结论:东亚国家之前观察到的非常低的自然双胞胎出生率(6-9/千次分娩),原来在整个南亚和东南亚地区占据主导地位。非常高的双胞胎出生率(高于 18/千次分娩)不仅限于尼日利亚(迄今为止被视为世界双胞胎冠军),还见于大多数中非国家。拉丁美洲的双胞胎出生率与亚洲一样低。随着时间的推移,变化很小,且没有特定的方向。

意义

我们提供了目前可能获得的关于发展中国家双胞胎出生率的最完整和最具可比性的概述。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7c5e/3182188/c87eef8010d6/pone.0025239.g001.jpg

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