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约旦的双胞胎出生情况:发生率、趋势、风险因素以及对五岁以下儿童死亡率的影响:来自 2012 年约旦人口与家庭健康调查的证据。

Twin births in Jordan: incidence, trends, risk factors and implications for under-five mortality: evidence from the 2012 Jordan Population and Family Health Survey.

机构信息

Department of Statistics, College of Science, Sultan Qaboos University, Muscat, Oman.

National University of Science and Technology, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Shohar, Oman.

出版信息

J Biosoc Sci. 2019 Nov;51(6):857-874. doi: 10.1017/S0021932019000154. Epub 2019 Jul 26.

DOI:10.1017/S0021932019000154
PMID:31347995
Abstract

Research on twinning in developed countries is well documented, but little is known about twinning in less-developed countries due to a lack of data or data limitations. This study examined the level of, trends in and determinants of twin births and their survival under age five in Jordan, using the 2012 Jordan Population and Family Health Survey (JPFHS) data. The birth history of 11,352 women included in the JPFHS provided information on 9859 live births that occurred within five years of the survey date, and these constituted the study subjects. Descriptive statistics, and bivariate and multivariate multilevel logistic regression models were used for data analysis. About 3.5% of the total live births were twins, which is one of the highest rates in developing countries. The twinning rate showed an increasing trend in Jordan, increasing by 45% from 2.4% in 1990 to 3.5% in 2012. Higher maternal age at child birth, higher parity, poor and richer economic status, contraceptive use status, secondary and above level of education of mothers and non-consanguinity were found to be associated with a higher rate of twin births in Jordan. Twins were observed to have a higher risk of low birth weight, being smaller in physical size at birth and at more than four times higher risk of neonatal death compared with singletons. To reduce the risk adverse outcomes of twin pregnancies and further improve maternal and child health, antenatal, delivery and postnatal care should be tailored towards the special needs of twin pregnancies and twin births in Jordan Twin pregnancies should be detected at the early stage of pregnancy so that perinatal outcomes can be improved by frequent prenatal visits, health education, counselling and proper management of peripartum complications.

摘要

发达国家的双胞胎研究已有充分的文献记载,但由于缺乏数据或数据限制,对于欠发达国家的双胞胎情况知之甚少。本研究使用 2012 年约旦人口与家庭健康调查(JPFHS)数据,考察了约旦双胞胎生育水平、趋势及其在五岁以下儿童中的生存情况,以及这些情况的决定因素。JPFHS 中包含的 11352 名妇女的生育史提供了调查日期前五年内 9859 例活产的信息,这些活产构成了研究对象。采用描述性统计、双变量和多变量多层次逻辑回归模型进行数据分析。在总活产中,约有 3.5%是双胞胎,这是发展中国家最高的比率之一。在约旦,双胞胎的出生率呈上升趋势,从 1990 年的 2.4%上升到 2012 年的 3.5%,上升了 45%。研究发现,产妇分娩时年龄较大、生育次数较多、经济状况较差和较富裕、使用避孕措施、母亲接受过中等或高等教育以及没有血缘关系与约旦双胞胎出生率较高有关。与单胎相比,双胞胎出生体重较低、出生时体型较小、新生儿死亡风险高 4 倍以上的风险更高。为了降低双胞胎妊娠不良结局的风险,进一步改善母婴健康,约旦应针对双胞胎妊娠和双胞胎分娩的特殊需求提供产前、分娩和产后护理。应在妊娠早期发现双胞胎妊娠,以便通过频繁的产前检查、健康教育、咨询和适当的围产期并发症管理来改善围产期结局。

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