Climate and Health Program, Division of Environmental Hazards and Health Effects, National Center for Environmental Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Environ Health Perspect. 2012 Feb;120(2):171-9. doi: 10.1289/ehp.1103515. Epub 2011 Oct 13.
Climate change is expected to have a range of health impacts, some of which are already apparent. Public health adaptation is imperative, but there has been little discussion of how to increase adaptive capacity and resilience in public health systems.
We explored possible explanations for the lack of work on adaptive capacity, outline climate-health challenges that may lie outside public health's coping range, and consider changes in practice that could increase public health's adaptive capacity.
We conducted a substantive, interdisciplinary literature review focused on climate change adaptation in public health, social learning, and management of socioeconomic systems exhibiting dynamic complexity.
There are two competing views of how public health should engage climate change adaptation. Perspectives differ on whether climate change will primarily amplify existing hazards, requiring enhancement of existing public health functions, or present categorically distinct threats requiring innovative management strategies. In some contexts, distinctly climate-sensitive health threats may overwhelm public health's adaptive capacity. Addressing these threats will require increased emphasis on institutional learning, innovative management strategies, and new and improved tools. Adaptive management, an iterative framework that embraces uncertainty, uses modeling, and integrates learning, may be a useful approach. We illustrate its application to extreme heat in an urban setting.
Increasing public health capacity will be necessary for certain climate-health threats. Focusing efforts to increase adaptive capacity in specific areas, promoting institutional learning, embracing adaptive management, and developing tools to facilitate these processes are important priorities and can improve the resilience of local public health systems to climate change.
预计气候变化将对健康产生一系列影响,其中一些已经显现。公共卫生适应是必要的,但对于如何提高公共卫生系统的适应能力和弹性,讨论甚少。
我们探讨了公共卫生适应能力方面缺乏工作的可能原因,概述了可能超出公共卫生应对范围的气候-健康挑战,并考虑了可以提高公共卫生适应能力的实践改变。
我们进行了一项实质性的跨学科文献综述,重点关注公共卫生、社会学习以及表现出动态复杂性的社会经济系统管理中的气候变化适应。
公共卫生应该如何参与气候变化适应有两种相互竞争的观点。对于气候变化是否主要会放大现有的危害,需要加强现有的公共卫生功能,或者会带来需要创新管理策略的截然不同的威胁,两种观点存在分歧。在某些情况下,明显受气候影响的健康威胁可能会超过公共卫生的适应能力。应对这些威胁需要更加重视机构学习、创新管理策略以及新的和改进的工具。适应性管理是一种有用的方法,它是一个迭代框架,包含不确定性,使用建模并整合学习。我们以城市极端高温为例说明了其应用。
对于某些气候-健康威胁,提高公共卫生能力将是必要的。集中精力在特定领域提高适应能力,促进机构学习,采用适应性管理,并开发工具来促进这些过程,是重要的优先事项,可提高地方公共卫生系统对气候变化的弹性。