Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria EEA Rafaela, Ruta 34 Km 227, Rafaela, C.P. 2300, Provincia de Santa Fe, Argentina.
Food Chem Toxicol. 2012 Feb;50(2):250-7. doi: 10.1016/j.fct.2011.09.036. Epub 2011 Oct 10.
A stochastic simulation model was developed to carry out the first quantitative risk exposure assessment of the mycotoxin level in cow's milk produced in Argentina. The prevalence and concentration of aflatoxin M1 (AFM1), deoxynivalenol (DON) and zearalenone (ZEA) were modeled at various stages through milk processes complying with Argentinean practices. Concentration of AFM1 (0.059ppb), DON (0.338ppb) and ZEA (0.125ppb) in dairy milk were estimated. The proportion of feed samples that exceeded the maximum level accepted by European regulations for AFB1, DON and ZEA were estimated at 25.07%, 0.0% and 8.9%, respectively. The percentage of milk samples that exceeded the maximum level accepted for AFB1 by the MERCOSUR (0.5ppb) and the European Union regulations (0.05ppb) were 0.81 and 32.65, respectively. The probability distribution of AFM1 concentration in milk was affected by the carry-over rate equations applied in the model. Mycotoxin levels in corn silage and concentrated feeds were the factors most correlated with mycotoxin concentrations in milk. Therefore, agricultural practices, crop management and feed production require prompt attention regarding mycotoxin issues.
建立了一个随机模拟模型,对阿根廷牛奶中霉菌毒素水平进行首次定量风险暴露评估。通过符合阿根廷惯例的牛奶加工各个阶段,对黄曲霉毒素 M1(AFM1)、脱氧雪腐镰刀菌烯醇(DON)和玉米赤霉烯酮(ZEA)的流行率和浓度进行建模。估计了牛奶中 AFM1(0.059ppb)、DON(0.338ppb)和 ZEA(0.125ppb)的浓度。饲料样本中超过欧洲法规规定的 AFB1、DON 和 ZEA 最大允许水平的比例分别为 25.07%、0.0%和 8.9%。超过南方共同市场(MERCOSUR)(0.5ppb)和欧盟法规(0.05ppb)规定的 AFB1 最大允许水平的牛奶样本比例分别为 0.81%和 32.65%。牛奶中 AFM1 浓度的概率分布受到模型中应用的残留率方程的影响。玉米青贮饲料和浓缩饲料中的霉菌毒素水平是与牛奶中霉菌毒素浓度最相关的因素。因此,农业实践、作物管理和饲料生产需要及时关注霉菌毒素问题。