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[2003 - 2009年合并症对急性心肌梗死住院死亡率的影响]

[Impact of comorbidities on in-hospital mortality from acute myocardial infarction, 2003-2009].

作者信息

Gili Miguel, Sala José, López Julio, Carrión Ana, Béjar Luís, Moreno Julio, Rosales Angela, Sánchez Gabriel

机构信息

Servicio de Medicina Preventiva, Hospital Universitario Virgen Macarena, Sevilla, España.

出版信息

Rev Esp Cardiol. 2011 Dec;64(12):1130-7. doi: 10.1016/j.recesp.2011.07.010. Epub 2011 Oct 22.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Treatment of acute myocardial infarction has changed notably in recent years. The objective of this study was to analyze trends in in-hospital mortality during the period 2003-2009 and to examine how changes in comorbidity indices affected mortality prediction models for acute myocardial infarction using the minimum basic data set.

METHODS

During the study period, 5275 cases of acute myocardial infarction were admitted. Mortality rates were calculated by age and sex and Charlson and Elixhauser comorbidity index scores were obtained on admission for every patient. Trends were analyzed and their validity studied. Multivariate models predictive of mortality were derived and compared.

RESULTS

Mean age and comorbidities increased in all patients over the period 2003-2009. In spite of these trends, acute myocardial infarction mortality decreased. Comorbidity indices remained valid when the criterion "present on admission" was applied. Multivariate predictive models included age, sex, medical treatment, coronary revascularization and a comorbidity index or specific comorbidities. The model with specific comorbidities showed the best predictive ability. All models found that age and comorbidities increased the risk of death, and that coronary revascularization and treatment with anticoagulants, fibrinolytics, and platelet antiaggregants were protective factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite the fact that the mean age and number of comorbidities in acute myocardial infarction patients has increased year over year, acute myocardial infarction mortality has decreased, probably because of more frequent reperfusion and revascularization therapy and better medical treatment.

摘要

引言与目的

近年来,急性心肌梗死的治疗发生了显著变化。本研究的目的是分析2003年至2009年期间住院死亡率的趋势,并使用最小基本数据集研究合并症指数的变化如何影响急性心肌梗死的死亡率预测模型。

方法

在研究期间,共收治了5275例急性心肌梗死患者。按年龄和性别计算死亡率,并在每位患者入院时获取Charlson和Elixhauser合并症指数评分。分析趋势并研究其有效性。推导并比较预测死亡率的多变量模型。

结果

在2003年至2009年期间,所有患者的平均年龄和合并症均有所增加。尽管有这些趋势,但急性心肌梗死死亡率仍有所下降。当应用“入院时存在”这一标准时,合并症指数仍然有效。多变量预测模型包括年龄、性别、药物治疗、冠状动脉血运重建以及合并症指数或特定合并症。包含特定合并症的模型显示出最佳预测能力。所有模型均发现年龄和合并症会增加死亡风险,而冠状动脉血运重建以及使用抗凝剂、纤溶药物和血小板抗聚集剂进行治疗是保护因素。

结论

尽管急性心肌梗死患者的平均年龄和合并症数量逐年增加,但急性心肌梗死死亡率却有所下降,这可能是由于再灌注和血运重建治疗更为频繁以及医疗水平提高所致。

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