Dr Foster Unit, Department of Primary Care and Public Health, Imperial College London, 12 Smithfield Street, London EC1A 9LA, UK.
J Clin Epidemiol. 2011 Dec;64(12):1426-33. doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2011.04.004. Epub 2011 Jul 20.
The Charlson and Elixhauser indices are the most commonly used comorbidity indices with risk prediction models using administrative data. Our objective was to compare the original Charlson index, a modified set of Charlson codes after advice from clinical coders, and a published modified Elixhauser index in predicting in-hospital mortality.
Logistic regression using two separate years of administrative hospital data for all acute nonspecialist public hospitals in England.
For all admissions combined, discrimination was similar for the Charlson index using the original codes and weights and the Charlson index using the original codes but England-calibrated weights (c=0.73), although model fit was superior for the latter. The new Charlson codes improved discrimination (c=0.76), model fit, and consistency of recording between admissions. The modified Elixhauser had the best performance (c=0.80). For admissions for acute myocardial infarction and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, the weights often differed, although the patterns were broadly similar.
Recalibration of the original Charlson index yielded only modest benefits overall. The modified Charlson codes and weights offer better fit and discrimination for English data over the original version. The modified Elixhauser performed best of all, but its weights were perhaps less consistent across the different patient groups considered here.
Charlson 和 Elixhauser 指数是使用行政数据进行风险预测模型时最常用的合并症指数。我们的目的是比较原始 Charlson 指数、经过临床编码员建议修改后的 Charlson 编码集以及已发表的修改版 Elixhauser 指数在预测住院死亡率方面的效果。
使用英格兰所有急性非专科公立医院两年的行政医院数据进行逻辑回归。
对于所有综合入院患者,使用原始编码和权重的 Charlson 指数与使用原始编码和英国校准权重的 Charlson 指数(c=0.73)的区分度相似,尽管后者的模型拟合度更好。新的 Charlson 编码提高了区分度(c=0.76)、模型拟合度和入院记录的一致性。修改后的 Elixhauser 表现最佳(c=0.80)。对于急性心肌梗死和慢性阻塞性肺疾病的入院患者,权重通常不同,尽管模式大致相似。
对原始 Charlson 指数进行重新校准总体上仅带来适度的益处。对于英国数据,修改后的 Charlson 编码和权重提供了更好的拟合度和区分度。所有指数中,修改后的 Elixhauser 表现最佳,但考虑到这里考虑的不同患者群体,其权重可能不太一致。