Oddsberg Jenny, Lu Yunxia, Lagergren Jesper
Upper Gastrointestinal Research, Department of Molecular Medicine and Surgery, Karolinska Institutet, 171 76, Stockholm, Sweden.
Pediatr Surg Int. 2012 Mar;28(3):249-57. doi: 10.1007/s00383-011-3014-1. Epub 2011 Oct 22.
To estimate the incidence, mortality and cancer risk of the congenital malformation esophageal atresia (EA) in a population-based investigation.
A population-based cohort study of EA patients registered in three nationwide registers in Sweden in 1964-2007. The incidence of EA per total number of live births was assessed. Mortality and cancer occurrence were expressed as standardized mortality ratio (SMR) and standardized incidence ratio (SIR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Mortality was further analyzed by Cox regression and expressed as hazard ratio with 95% CI.
The EA cohort comprised 1,126 patients. The mean incidence was 3.16 per 10,000 live births, without any temporal changes (p for trend =0.94). Associated anomalies were present in 42% and chromosomal abnormalities in 5%. EA patients had an almost 12 times higher risk of mortality compared to the background population (SMR 11.8, 95% CI 10.3-13.5). The mortality increase was most pronounced during the first 5 years after birth. Survival improved during the study period (p for trend =0.0001). EA did not entail a strongly increased cancer risk (SIR 0.9; 95% CI 0.2-2.6).
EA has a stable incidence, the survival has improved substantially during recent decades, and the cancer risk might not be increased.
在一项基于人群的调查中评估先天性畸形食管闭锁(EA)的发病率、死亡率和癌症风险。
对1964 - 2007年在瑞典三个全国性登记处登记的EA患者进行基于人群的队列研究。评估EA在总活产数中的发病率。死亡率和癌症发生率以标准化死亡率比(SMR)和标准化发病率比(SIR)表示,并伴有95%置信区间(CI)。通过Cox回归进一步分析死亡率,并以伴有95%CI的风险比表示。
EA队列包括1126名患者。平均发病率为每10000例活产3.16例,无任何时间变化(趋势p值 = 0.94)。42%的患者存在相关异常,5%的患者存在染色体异常。与背景人群相比,EA患者的死亡风险几乎高出12倍(SMR 11.8,95%CI 10.3 - 13.5)。出生后的前5年死亡率增加最为明显。在研究期间生存率有所改善(趋势p值 = 0.0001)。EA并未导致癌症风险大幅增加(SIR 0.9;95%CI 0.2 - 2.6)。
EA发病率稳定,近几十年来生存率大幅提高,癌症风险可能未增加。