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基于人群的食管闭锁情况:发病率、死亡率和癌症风险。

Aspects of esophageal atresia in a population-based setting: incidence, mortality, and cancer risk.

作者信息

Oddsberg Jenny, Lu Yunxia, Lagergren Jesper

机构信息

Upper Gastrointestinal Research, Department of Molecular Medicine and Surgery, Karolinska Institutet, 171 76, Stockholm, Sweden.

出版信息

Pediatr Surg Int. 2012 Mar;28(3):249-57. doi: 10.1007/s00383-011-3014-1. Epub 2011 Oct 22.

Abstract

PURPOSE

To estimate the incidence, mortality and cancer risk of the congenital malformation esophageal atresia (EA) in a population-based investigation.

METHODS

A population-based cohort study of EA patients registered in three nationwide registers in Sweden in 1964-2007. The incidence of EA per total number of live births was assessed. Mortality and cancer occurrence were expressed as standardized mortality ratio (SMR) and standardized incidence ratio (SIR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Mortality was further analyzed by Cox regression and expressed as hazard ratio with 95% CI.

RESULTS

The EA cohort comprised 1,126 patients. The mean incidence was 3.16 per 10,000 live births, without any temporal changes (p for trend =0.94). Associated anomalies were present in 42% and chromosomal abnormalities in 5%. EA patients had an almost 12 times higher risk of mortality compared to the background population (SMR 11.8, 95% CI 10.3-13.5). The mortality increase was most pronounced during the first 5 years after birth. Survival improved during the study period (p for trend =0.0001). EA did not entail a strongly increased cancer risk (SIR 0.9; 95% CI 0.2-2.6).

CONCLUSIONS

EA has a stable incidence, the survival has improved substantially during recent decades, and the cancer risk might not be increased.

摘要

目的

在一项基于人群的调查中评估先天性畸形食管闭锁(EA)的发病率、死亡率和癌症风险。

方法

对1964 - 2007年在瑞典三个全国性登记处登记的EA患者进行基于人群的队列研究。评估EA在总活产数中的发病率。死亡率和癌症发生率以标准化死亡率比(SMR)和标准化发病率比(SIR)表示,并伴有95%置信区间(CI)。通过Cox回归进一步分析死亡率,并以伴有95%CI的风险比表示。

结果

EA队列包括1126名患者。平均发病率为每10000例活产3.16例,无任何时间变化(趋势p值 = 0.94)。42%的患者存在相关异常,5%的患者存在染色体异常。与背景人群相比,EA患者的死亡风险几乎高出12倍(SMR 11.8,95%CI 10.3 - 13.5)。出生后的前5年死亡率增加最为明显。在研究期间生存率有所改善(趋势p值 = 0.0001)。EA并未导致癌症风险大幅增加(SIR 0.9;95%CI 0.2 - 2.6)。

结论

EA发病率稳定,近几十年来生存率大幅提高,癌症风险可能未增加。

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