San Diego State University/University of California, San Diego, Joint Doctoral Program in Clinical Psychology, 6363 Alvarado Court, Suite 103, San Diego, California 92120-4929, USA.
J Stud Alcohol Drugs. 2011 Nov;72(6):975-80. doi: 10.15288/jsad.2011.72.975.
Problem drinking during college is a well-known phenomenon. However, predictors of progression to problematic drinking, particularly among ethnic minorities such as Mexican Americans, have received limited research attention.
The current study compared the rates and predictors of problem drinking progression from the first to the second year of college among four groups: Mexican American men, Mexican American women, White European men, and White European women (N = 215). At baseline, participants were all first-year college students who scored as nonproblem drinkers on the Young Adult Alcohol Problems Screening Test (YAAPST). Participants were classified as progressors or stable nondrinkers/nonproblem drinkers based on YAAPST scores 12 months later. Hypothesized predictors of progression included behavioral undercontrol, negative emotionality, alcohol use expectancies, and cultural orientation (Mexican American sample only). Differences were anticipated between gender and ethnic groups in both progression rates and predictors of progression.
Twenty-nine percent of the sample progressed to problematic drinking; however, no differences emerged by gender or ethnicity. For the full sample, higher behavioral undercontrol and higher negative emotionality significantly predicted progression. Differences in predictors were not found across gender and ethnic subgroups.
The hypothesis that rates of progression to problem drinking would differ among the four gender and ethnic groups was not supported. Thus, although White European men are most often identified as at high risk for alcohol use problems, the present findings indicate that women and Mexican American students also should be targeted for prevention and/or intervention.
大学生中存在酗酒问题是一个众所周知的现象。然而，对于酗酒问题的进展预测，特别是在墨西哥裔美国人等少数族裔中，研究关注有限。
本研究比较了四个群体（墨西哥裔美国男性、墨西哥裔美国女性、白种欧洲男性和白种欧洲女性）在大学一年级到二年级期间酗酒问题进展的比率和预测因素（N=215）。在基线时，所有参与者均为大一学生，在青少年酒精问题筛查测试（YAAPST）中得分是非酗酒者。根据 12 个月后 YAAPST 的分数，将参与者分为进展者或稳定的非饮酒者/非酗酒者。进展的假设预测因素包括行为失控、负性情绪、酒精使用期望和文化取向（仅墨西哥裔美国样本）。预计在进展率和进展预测因素方面，性别和族裔群体之间会存在差异。
样本中有 29%进展为酗酒问题；然而，性别和族裔之间没有差异。对于全样本，较高的行为失控和较高的负性情绪显著预测了进展。在性别和族裔亚组中未发现预测因素的差异。
进展到酗酒问题的比率在四个性别和族裔群体中存在差异的假设没有得到支持。因此，尽管白种欧洲男性通常被认为是酒精使用问题的高风险人群，但本研究结果表明，女性和墨西哥裔美国学生也应该成为预防和/或干预的目标。
