University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM 87131-1161, USA.
J Interpers Violence. 2012 May;27(7):1242-58. doi: 10.1177/0886260511425243. Epub 2011 Nov 11.
The purpose of this study was to conduct a longitudinal examination of predictors of sexual aggression among male juvenile offenders. Four hundred and four adolescent males between the ages of 14 and 17 years were recruited from juvenile probation offices to take part in a prospective study of substance use and sexual risk. At baseline, participants completed a series of questionnaires that assessed putative risk factors for sexual aggression. They then completed a measure of sexual aggression at the 6-month follow-up period. Correlational analyses revealed that participants who reported hard drug use, more frequent alcohol and marijuana use, and less severe offenses reported engaging in more severe sexual aggression. In addition, participants who reported higher impulsivity, sensation seeking, and externalizing behaviors also reported participating in more severe sexual aggression. When these variables were included in a regression analysis, only externalizing behaviors and severity of offense uniquely predicted severity of sexual aggression at the 6-month follow-up.
本研究旨在对男性少年犯的性侵犯预测因素进行纵向研究。从少年缓刑办公室招募了 404 名 14 至 17 岁的青少年男性，参与一项关于物质使用和性风险的前瞻性研究。在基线时，参与者完成了一系列问卷，评估了性侵犯的潜在风险因素。然后，他们在 6 个月的随访期间完成了一项性侵犯测量。相关分析显示，报告使用硬毒品、更频繁饮酒和吸食大麻、以及更轻微犯罪的参与者报告了更严重的性侵犯行为。此外，报告更高冲动性、寻求刺激和外化行为的参与者也报告了更严重的性侵犯行为。当将这些变量纳入回归分析时，只有外化行为和犯罪严重程度能够独特地预测 6 个月随访时性侵犯的严重程度。
