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发展中国家农村到城市移民的生育适应:以韩国为例。

Fertility adaptation by rural-urban migrants in developing countries: The case of Korea.

出版信息

Popul Stud (Camb). 1984 Mar;38(1):141-55. doi: 10.1080/00324728.1984.10412828.

Abstract

Summary The purpose of this study is to develop and test a model to assess the influence of rural-urban migration on fertility in less developed countries. Two major reasons may account for lower fertility levels observed among such migrants than among women who remained in rural areas: a selection effect, and adaptation to constraints in the area of destination. Results of previous studies have only rarely suggested that the effect of adaptation was significant. We use the detailed personal migration and pregnancy histories recorded in the Korean World Fertility Survey of 1974 and an autoregressive model to control for unobservable variations in personal preferences for different family sizes between migrants and non-migrants. Our study provides evidence that adaptation following rural-urban migration is a significant factor which explains the lower fertility of rural-urban migrants compared with that of rural stayers.

摘要

摘要 本研究旨在开发和检验一个模型,以评估农村向城市移民对欠发达国家生育率的影响。导致这种移民生育率低于农村留守妇女的生育率的主要有两个原因:选择性效应,以及对目的地条件限制的适应。以往研究的结果仅表明适应的影响有时是显著的。我们利用韩国 1974 年世界生育调查中详细的个人迁移和妊娠史,以及自回归模型,来控制移民和非移民之间对不同家庭规模的个人偏好的不可观测差异。我们的研究结果表明,农村向城市移民后的适应是一个重要因素,它可以解释农村向城市移民的生育率比农村留守者的生育率低的原因。

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