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小实体性肾肿块诊断的即时治疗、经皮活检和主动监测的成本效益:来自马尔可夫模型的证据。

The cost-effectiveness of immediate treatment, percutaneous biopsy and active surveillance for the diagnosis of the small solid renal mass: evidence from a Markov model.

机构信息

Department of Radiology and Division of Urology, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah, USA.

出版信息

J Urol. 2012 Jan;187(1):39-43. doi: 10.1016/j.juro.2011.09.055. Epub 2011 Nov 16.

Abstract

PURPOSE

The most effective diagnostic strategy for the very small, incidentally detected solid renal mass is uncertain. We assessed the cost-effectiveness of adding percutaneous biopsy or active surveillance to the diagnosis of a 2 cm or less solid renal mass.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A Markov state transition model was developed to observe a hypothetical cohort of healthy 60-year-old men with an incidentally detected, 2 or less cm solid renal mass, comparing percutaneous biopsy, immediate treatment and active surveillance. The primary outcomes assessed were the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio measured by cost per life-year gained at a willingness to pay threshold of $50,000. Model results were assessed by sensitivity analysis.

RESULTS

Immediate treatment was the highest cost, most effective diagnostic strategy, providing the longest overall survival of 18.53 life-years. Active surveillance was the lowest cost, least effective diagnostic strategy. On cost-effectiveness analysis using a societal willingness to pay threshold of $50,000 active surveillance was the preferred choice at a $75,000 willingness to pay threshold while biopsy and treatment were acceptable ($56,644 and $70,149 per life-year, respectively). When analysis was adjusted for quality of life, biopsy dominated immediate treatment as the most cost-effective diagnostic strategy at $33,840 per quality adjusted life-year gained.

CONCLUSIONS

Percutaneous biopsy may have a greater role in optimizing the diagnosis of an incidentally detected, 2 cm or less solid renal mass.

摘要

目的

对于偶然发现的小而实性的肾脏肿块,最有效的诊断策略尚不确定。我们评估了对 2cm 或以下的实性肾脏肿块进行经皮活检或主动监测对诊断的成本效益。

材料与方法

开发了一个马尔可夫状态转移模型,以观察一个假设的 60 岁健康男性队列,该队列偶然发现了一个 2cm 或以下的实性肾脏肿块,比较了经皮活检、立即治疗和主动监测。评估的主要结果是通过愿意支付 50000 美元的意愿支付阈值来衡量的,每获得一年生命的增量成本效益比。通过敏感性分析评估模型结果。

结果

立即治疗是成本最高、最有效的诊断策略,提供了 18.53 年的最长总生存期。主动监测是成本最低、最不有效的诊断策略。在使用社会愿意支付 50000 美元的意愿支付阈值的成本效益分析中,主动监测是首选策略,而活检和治疗在 75000 美元的意愿支付阈值下是可以接受的(分别为每年每生命 75000 美元和 70149 美元)。当分析调整为生活质量时,活检以每年每获得一个质量调整生命 33840 美元的成本效益比主导了立即治疗,成为最具成本效益的诊断策略。

结论

经皮活检可能在优化偶然发现的 2cm 或以下的实性肾脏肿块的诊断中发挥更大的作用。

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