Minnesota Department of Health, St Paul, 55155, USA.
Epidemiol Infect. 2012 Aug;140(8):1430-8. doi: 10.1017/S0950268811002330. Epub 2011 Nov 18.
We determined characteristics of Escherichia coli O157:H7 pulsed-field gel electrophoresis clusters that predict their being solved (i.e. that result in identification of a confirmed outbreak). Clusters were investigated by the Minnesota Department of Health (MDH) using a dynamic iterative model. During 2000-2008, 19 (23%) of 84 clusters were solved. Clusters of ≥3 isolates were more likely to be solved than clusters of two isolates. Clusters in which the first two case isolates were received at MDH on the same day were more likely to be solved than were clusters in which the first two case isolates were received over ≥8 days. Investigation of clusters of ≥3 E. coli O157:H7 cases increased the success of cluster investigations.
我们确定了预测肠出血性大肠杆菌 O157:H7 脉冲场凝胶电泳群集得到解决(即导致确认暴发的结果)的特征。明尼苏达州卫生部(MDH)使用动态迭代模型对此类群集进行了调查。2000 年至 2008 年期间,84 个群集中有 19 个(23%)得到解决。包含≥3 个分离株的群集比包含两个分离株的群集更有可能得到解决。在 MDH 同一天收到前两个病例分离株的群集比前两个病例分离株间隔超过 8 天收到的群集更有可能得到解决。对≥3 例肠出血性大肠杆菌 O157:H7 病例的群集进行调查增加了群集调查的成功率。