National Centre of Epidemiology, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain.
Clin Infect Dis. 2012 Jan 1;54(1):111-8. doi: 10.1093/cid/cir814. Epub 2011 Nov 21.
We examined differences by geographical origin (GO) in time from HIV seroconversion (SC) to AIDS, death, and initiation of antiretroviral therapy (cART).
Data from HIV seroconverter cohorts in Europe, Australia and Canada (CASCADE) was used; GO was classified as: western countries (WE), North Africa and Middle East (NAME), sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), Latin America (LA), and Asia (ASIA). Differences by GO were assessed using Cox models. Administrative censoring date was 30 June 2008.
Of 16 941 seroconverters, 15 548 were from WE, 158 NAME, 762 SSA, 349 LA, and 124 ASIA. We found no differences by GO in risks of AIDS (P = .99) and death (P = .12), although seroconverters from NAME (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 0.57; 95% CI: 0.33-.94) and SSA (aHR: 0.74; 95% CI: 0.50-1.10) appeared to have lower mortality than WE. Chances of initiating cART differed by GO (P < .001): seroconverters from SSA were more likely to initiate cART than WE (aHR: 1.48; 95% CI: 1.26-1.74), but not after adjustment for CD4 at SC (aHR: 1.11; 95% CI: 0.88-1.40).
In settings with universal access to healthcare, GO does not play a major role in HIV disease progression.
我们研究了地理起源(GO)在从 HIV 血清转换(SC)到艾滋病、死亡和开始抗逆转录病毒治疗(cART)的时间上的差异。
使用了欧洲、澳大利亚和加拿大的 HIV 血清转换队列(CASCADE)的数据;GO 分为:西方国家(WE)、北非和中东(NAME)、撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)、拉丁美洲(LA)和亚洲(ASIA)。使用 Cox 模型评估 GO 之间的差异。行政截止日期为 2008 年 6 月 30 日。
在 16941 名血清转换者中,15548 名来自 WE,158 名来自 NAME,762 名来自 SSA,349 名来自 LA,124 名来自 ASIA。我们没有发现 GO 之间在艾滋病风险(P=0.99)和死亡风险(P=0.12)上的差异,尽管来自 NAME(调整后的危险比[aHR]:0.57;95%可信区间[95%CI]:0.33-0.94)和 SSA(aHR:0.74;95%CI:0.50-1.10)的血清转换者似乎比 WE 的死亡率更低。开始 cART 的机会因 GO 而异(P<0.001):来自 SSA 的血清转换者比 WE 更有可能开始 cART(aHR:1.48;95%CI:1.26-1.74),但在调整 SC 时的 CD4 后则不然(aHR:1.11;95%CI:0.88-1.40)。
在普遍获得医疗保健的环境中,GO 在 HIV 疾病进展中没有起主要作用。