Department of Economics, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708-0097, USA.
Econ Hum Biol. 2012 Jan;10(1):74-88. doi: 10.1016/j.ehb.2011.06.005. Epub 2011 Jul 23.
This paper examines determinants of being disabled in Russia, along with the probability of moving from one disability status to another, using data from 1994 through 2005 from the Russian Longitudinal Monitoring Survey. Results from multinomial probit regressions indicate that disability risk rises sharply with age, declines with income and self-reported good health, and is lower for women. Neither smoking nor drinking alcohol increases either the risk of being or becoming disabled. Recovery--health status improvement--improves with household size. Misclassification or measurement error is important: a surprisingly large proportion of "incurably" disabled Russians do in fact recover. This study has been funded in part by National Institute of Aging grant #2P30 AG17248-02 through the Population Aging Center at the University of Colorado at Boulder. We are grateful to Aleksandr Andreev for outstanding research assistance. Jeanine Braithwaite, John Komlos, Cem Mete, Mieke Meurs, Daniel Mont, Frank Sloan, and five anonymous referees contributed valuable comments. We acknowledge our appreciation without implicating them in remaining errors and misinterpretations.
本文利用 1994 年至 2005 年俄罗斯纵向监测调查的数据，考察了俄罗斯残疾人的决定因素，以及从一种残疾状态转变为另一种残疾状态的概率。多项概率回归结果表明，残疾风险随年龄急剧上升，随收入和自我报告的健康状况下降，女性的残疾风险较低。吸烟和饮酒都不会增加残疾的风险或成为残疾的风险。恢复（健康状况改善）随家庭规模的增大而提高。分类或测量误差很重要：令人惊讶的是，相当大比例的“不治之症”俄罗斯残疾人实际上确实康复了。本研究部分由科罗拉多大学博尔德分校人口老龄化中心的国家老龄化研究所授予的#2P30 AG17248-02 号拨款资助。我们感谢 Aleksandr Andreev 出色的研究协助。Jeanine Braithwaite、John Komlos、Cem Mete、Mieke Meurs、Daniel Mont、Frank Sloan 和五位匿名审稿人提出了宝贵的意见。我们表示感谢，但不暗示他们对剩余的错误和误解负责。
