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Charlson 合并症评分是血液透析患者死亡率的强有力预测指标。

Charlson comorbidity score is a strong predictor of mortality in hemodialysis patients.

机构信息

Harold Simmons Center for Chronic Disease Research and Epidemiology, Los Angeles Biomedical Research Institute at Harbor-UCLA Medical Center, 1124 West Carson Street, C1-Annex, Torrance, CA 90502, USA.

出版信息

Int Urol Nephrol. 2012 Dec;44(6):1813-23. doi: 10.1007/s11255-011-0085-9. Epub 2011 Nov 30.

Abstract

PURPOSE

The Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) is a commonly used scale for assessing morbidity, but its role in assessing mortality in hemodialysis patients is not clear. Age, a component of CCI, is a strong risk factor for morbidity and mortality in chronic diseases and correlates with comorbidities. We hypothesized that the Charlson comorbidity index without age is a strong predictor of mortality in hemodialysis patients.

METHODS

A 6-year cohort of 893 hemodialysis patients was examined for an association between a modified CCI (without age and kidney disease) (mCCI) and mortality.

RESULTS

Patients were 53±15 years old (mean±SD), had a median mCCI score of 2, and included 47% women, 31% African Americans and 55% diabetics. After adjusting for case-mix and nutritional and inflammatory markers including C-reactive protein and interleukin-6, 2nd (mCCI: 1-2), 3rd (mCCI=3), and 4th (mCCI: 4-9) quartiles compared to 1st (mCCI=0) quartiles showed death hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of 1.43 (0.92-2.23), 1.70 (1.06-2.72), and 2.33 (1.43-3.78), respectively. The mCCI-death association was robust in non-African Americans. The CCI-death association linearity was verified in cubic splines. Each 1 unit higher mCCI score was associated with a death hazard ratio of 1.16 (1.07-1.27).

CONCLUSIONS

CCI independent of age is a robust and linear predictor of mortality in hemodialysis patients, in particular in non-African Americans.

摘要

目的

Charlson 合并症指数(CCI)是一种常用于评估发病率的量表,但它在评估血液透析患者死亡率方面的作用尚不清楚。年龄是 CCI 的一个组成部分,是慢性病发病率和死亡率的一个强有力的危险因素,与合并症相关。我们假设不包括年龄的 Charlson 合并症指数是血液透析患者死亡率的一个强有力的预测指标。

方法

对 893 名血液透析患者进行了为期 6 年的队列研究,以研究改良 CCI(不包括年龄和肾脏疾病)(mCCI)与死亡率之间的关系。

结果

患者年龄为 53±15 岁(均值±标准差),mCCI 中位数为 2,包括 47%的女性、31%的非裔美国人及 55%的糖尿病患者。在校正病例组合及营养和炎症标志物(包括 C 反应蛋白和白细胞介素-6)后,与第 1 四分位数(mCCI=0)相比,第 2 四分位数(mCCI:1-2)、第 3 四分位数(mCCI=3)和第 4 四分位数(mCCI:4-9)的死亡风险比(95%置信区间)分别为 1.43(0.92-2.23)、1.70(1.06-2.72)和 2.33(1.43-3.78)。mCCI 与死亡的相关性在非非裔美国人中具有稳健性。在三次样条中验证了 CCI 与死亡的线性关系。mCCI 每增加 1 分,死亡风险比为 1.16(1.07-1.27)。

结论

不包括年龄的 CCI 是血液透析患者死亡率的一个强大而线性的预测指标,特别是在非非裔美国人中。

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