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欧洲人为引起温室效应的卤代气体排放量:来自大气测量的推论。

European emissions of halogenated greenhouse gases inferred from atmospheric measurements.

机构信息

Laboratory for Air Pollution/Environmental Technology, Swiss Federal Laboratories for Materials Science and Technology (Empa), Duebendorf, Switzerland.

出版信息

Environ Sci Technol. 2012 Jan 3;46(1):217-25. doi: 10.1021/es202453j. Epub 2011 Dec 16.

Abstract

European emissions of nine representative halocarbons (CFC-11, CFC-12, Halon 1211, HCFC-141b, HCFC-142b, HCFC-22, HFC-125, HFC-134a, HFC-152a) are derived for the year 2009 by combining long-term observations in Switzerland, Italy, and Ireland with campaign measurements from Hungary. For the first time, halocarbon emissions over Eastern Europe are assessed by top-down methods, and these results are compared to Western European emissions. The employed inversion method builds on least-squares optimization linking atmospheric observations with calculations from the Lagrangian particle dispersion model FLEXPART. The aggregated halocarbon emissions over the study area are estimated at 125 (106-150) Tg of CO(2) equiv/y, of which the hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) make up the most important fraction with 41% (31-52%). We find that chlorofluorocarbon (CFC) emissions from banks are still significant and account for 35% (27-43%) of total halocarbon emissions in Europe. The regional differences in per capita emissions are only small for the HFCs, while emissions of CFCs and hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFCs) tend to be higher in Western Europe compared to Eastern Europe. In total, the inferred per capita emissions are similar to estimates for China, but 3.5 (2.3-4.5) times lower than for the United States. Our study demonstrates the large benefits of adding a strategically well placed measurement site to the existing European observation network of halocarbons, as it extends the coverage of the inversion domain toward Eastern Europe and helps to better constrain the emissions over Central Europe.

摘要

欧洲 9 种代表性卤代烃(CFC-11、CFC-12、哈龙 1211、HCFC-141b、HCFC-142b、HCFC-22、HFC-125、HFC-134a、HFC-152a)的排放量是通过结合瑞士、意大利和爱尔兰的长期观测与匈牙利的季节性测量得出的。这是首次采用自上而下的方法评估东欧卤代烃的排放情况,并将这些结果与西欧的排放情况进行比较。所采用的反演方法基于最小二乘法优化,将大气观测与拉格朗日粒子扩散模型 FLEXPART 的计算结果联系起来。研究区域内卤代烃的总排放量估计为 125(106-150)TgCO2 当量/年,其中氢氟碳化合物(HFCs)占最重要的部分,占 41%(31-52%)。我们发现,银行的氯氟碳化物(CFC)排放仍然很重要,占欧洲总卤代烃排放量的 35%(27-43%)。HFC 人均排放量在区域间差异较小,而 CFC 和含氢氯氟烃(HCFCs)的排放量在西欧高于东欧。总的来说,推断出的人均排放量与中国的估计值相似,但比美国低 3.5(2.3-4.5)倍。我们的研究表明,在现有的欧洲卤代烃观测网络中增加一个地理位置优越的测量站点,可以带来很大的好处,因为它将反演区域的覆盖范围扩展到东欧,并有助于更好地约束中欧的排放量。

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