Department of Sociology and Anthropology, University of Windsor, Windsor, Ontario, Canada.
Forensic Sci Int. 2012 Jun 10;219(1-3):286.e1-3. doi: 10.1016/j.forsciint.2011.11.026. Epub 2011 Dec 27.
A sample (n=28) from the Terry Collection was selected to include only White males who were born and had their entire growth and development period before 1900 to assess the effects year of birth have on accuracy and precision when estimating stature. Using the computer application Fordisc 3.0, stature was estimated using the humerus, radius, femur, and tibia equations developed from White males born in the 19th Century and the 20th Century. The 19th Century White male equations did not consistently provide the most precise and accurate estimates of stature. The 20th Century equations provide results that were as good as or slightly better than the 19th Century equations for the humerus, radius and femur. The 20th Century equations provided notably better results for the tibia. There is a great deal of evidence that there are clear positive secular changes in most of North America in the last 100-125 years, but the division commonly advocated in a forensic context at the year 1900 has no positive effect on accuracy or precision when estimating stature.
选择特里收藏(Terry Collection)中的一个样本(n=28),仅包括出生于 1900 年以前、且整个生长发育期都在这之前的白人男性,以评估出生年份对使用肱骨、桡骨、股骨和胫骨方程来推断身高的准确性和精密度的影响。使用计算机应用程序 Fordisc 3.0,根据 19 世纪和 20 世纪白人男性的出生数据,分别使用来自肱骨、桡骨、股骨和胫骨的方程来推断身高。19 世纪白人男性的方程并没有始终提供最精确和准确的身高估计值。20 世纪的方程对于肱骨、桡骨和股骨的推断结果与 19 世纪的方程一样好,或者略好一些。20 世纪的方程对于胫骨的推断结果明显更好。有大量证据表明,在过去的 100-125 年中,北美大部分地区的大多数方面都发生了明显的正向长期变化,但在法医学领域中通常提倡的以 1900 年为界的划分,对推断身高的准确性和精密度并没有积极影响。