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暴力罪犯和受害者的死亡率和死因——一项基于瑞典人群的纵向研究。

Mortality and causes of death among violent offenders and victims--a Swedish population based longitudinal study.

机构信息

Addiction Center Stockholm, Karolinska University Hospital Solna, Building Z8, 171 76 Stockholm, Sweden.

出版信息

BMC Public Health. 2012 Jan 17;12:38. doi: 10.1186/1471-2458-12-38.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Most previous studies on mortality in violent offenders or victims are based on prison or hospital samples, while this study analyzed overall and cause specific mortality among violent offenders, victims, and individuals who were both offenders and victims in a general sample of 48,834 18-20 year-old men conscripted for military service in 1969/70 in Sweden.

METHODS

Each person completed two non-anonymous questionnaires concerning family, psychological, and behavioral factors. The cohort was followed for 35 years through official registers regarding violent offenses, victimization, and mortality. The impact of violence, victimization, early risk factors and hospitalization for psychiatric diagnosis or alcohol and drug misuse during follow up on mortality was investigated using Cox proportional hazard regression analyses.

RESULTS

Repeat violent offenses were associated with an eleven fold higher hazard of dying from a substance-related cause and nearly fourfold higher hazard of dying from suicide. These figures remained significantly elevated also in multivariate analyses, with a 3.03 and 2.39 hazard ratio (HR), respectively. Participants with experience of violence and inpatient care for substance abuse or psychiatric disorder had about a two to threefold higher risk of dying compared to participants with no substance use or psychiatric disorder.

CONCLUSIONS

Violent offending and being victimized are associated with excess mortality and a risk of dying from an alcohol or drug-related cause or suicide. Consequently, prevention of violent behavior might have an effect on overall mortality and suicide rates. Prevention of alcohol and drug use is also warranted.

摘要

背景

大多数关于暴力犯罪者或受害者死亡率的先前研究都是基于监狱或医院样本,而本研究分析了在瑞典 1969/70 年应征入伍的 48834 名 18-20 岁男性的一般样本中,暴力犯罪者、受害者以及既是犯罪者又是受害者的个体的总体和特定原因死亡率。

方法

每个人都完成了两份关于家庭、心理和行为因素的非匿名问卷。该队列通过关于暴力犯罪、受害和死亡率的官方登记处进行了 35 年的随访。使用 Cox 比例风险回归分析研究了暴力、受害、早期风险因素以及随访期间因精神疾病诊断或酒精和药物滥用住院对死亡率的影响。

结果

重复的暴力犯罪与死于与物质相关原因的风险增加十一倍和自杀的风险增加近四倍相关。这些数字在多变量分析中仍然显著升高,危险比(HR)分别为 3.03 和 2.39。与没有物质使用或精神疾病的参与者相比,经历过暴力和因物质滥用或精神障碍住院治疗的参与者的死亡风险高出约两到三倍。

结论

暴力犯罪和受害与死亡率过高以及死于酒精或药物相关原因或自杀的风险相关。因此,预防暴力行为可能会对总体死亡率和自杀率产生影响。预防酒精和药物使用也是必要的。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b36e/3329420/401945d5835c/1471-2458-12-38-1.jpg

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