National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health, Education and Information Division, Cincinnati, OH 45226, USA.
Occup Environ Med. 2012 May;69(5):303-9. doi: 10.1136/oemed-2011-100149. Epub 2012 Jan 22.
Prior investigations identified an association between airborne cadmium and lung cancer but questions remain regarding confounding by arsenic, a well-established lung carcinogen.
A cadmium smelter population exhibiting excess lung cancer was re-analysed using a retrospective exposure assessment for arsenic (As), updated mortality (1940-2002), a revised cadmium (Cd) exposure matrix and improved work history information.
Cumulative exposure metrics for both cadmium and arsenic were strongly associated making estimation of their independent effects difficult. Standardised mortality ratios (SMRs) were modelled with Poisson regression with the contribution of arsenic to lung cancer risk constrained by exposure-response estimates previously reported. The results demonstrate (1) a statistically significant effect of Cd independent of As (SMR=3.2 for 10 mg-year/m(3) Cd, p=0.012), (2) a substantial healthy worker effect for lung cancer (for unexposed workers, SMR=0.69) and (3) a large deficit in lung cancer mortality among Hispanic workers (SMR=0.27, p=0.009), known to have low lung cancer rates. A supralinear dose-rate effect was observed (contribution to risk with increasing exposure intensity has declining positive slope). Lung cancer mortality was somewhat better predicted using a cadmium burden metric with a half-life of about 20-25 years.
These findings support an independent effect for cadmium in risk of lung cancer mortality. 1/1000 excess lifetime risk of lung cancer death is predicted from an airborne exposure of about 2.4 μg/m(3) Cd.
先前的研究已经证实空气中的镉与肺癌之间存在关联,但对于砷(一种已被证实的肺癌致癌物)是否会对其产生混杂影响仍存在疑问。
我们重新分析了一个镉冶炼厂人群的肺癌发病情况,采用了砷的回顾性暴露评估(As)、更新的死亡率(1940-2002 年)、修正的镉(Cd)暴露矩阵和改进的工作史信息。
镉和砷的累积暴露指标均呈强烈相关性,这使得难以估计它们的独立影响。采用泊松回归模型对标准化死亡率比(SMR)进行建模,砷对肺癌风险的贡献受到先前报告的暴露反应估计的限制。结果表明:(1)镉对肺癌的影响具有统计学意义,而砷则没有(10 mg-year/m(3) Cd 时的 SMR=3.2,p=0.012);(2)对于肺癌,存在明显的健康工人效应(未暴露工人的 SMR=0.69);(3)西班牙裔工人的肺癌死亡率存在巨大的缺失(SMR=0.27,p=0.009),已知他们的肺癌发病率较低。观察到剂量率的超线性效应(随着暴露强度的增加,风险的贡献呈现出递减的正斜率)。使用半衰期约为 20-25 年的镉负荷指标可以更好地预测肺癌死亡率。
这些发现支持镉在肺癌死亡率风险中的独立作用。从空气中 2.4μg/m(3) Cd 的暴露预测,肺癌死亡的终身超额风险约为 1/1000。