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多目标博弈论模型在水库流域管理中的冲突分析。

Multi-objective game-theory models for conflict analysis in reservoir watershed management.

机构信息

Department of Environmental Engineering, Kun Shan University, Tainan City 71003, Taiwan.

出版信息

Chemosphere. 2012 May;87(6):608-13. doi: 10.1016/j.chemosphere.2012.01.014. Epub 2012 Jan 29.

DOI:10.1016/j.chemosphere.2012.01.014
PMID:22284980
Abstract

This study focuses on the development of a multi-objective game-theory model (MOGM) for balancing economic and environmental concerns in reservoir watershed management and for assistance in decision. Game theory is used as an alternative tool for analyzing strategic interaction between economic development (land use and development) and environmental protection (water-quality protection and eutrophication control). Geographic information system is used to concisely illustrate and calculate the areas of various land use types. The MOGM methodology is illustrated in a case study of multi-objective watershed management in the Tseng-Wen reservoir, Taiwan. The innovation and advantages of MOGM can be seen in the results, which balance economic and environmental concerns in watershed management and which can be interpreted easily by decision makers. For comparison, the decision-making process using conventional multi-objective method to produce many alternatives was found to be more difficult.

摘要

本研究旨在开发一个多目标博弈论模型(MOGM),用于平衡水库流域管理中的经济和环境关注,并为决策提供帮助。博弈论被用作分析经济发展(土地利用和开发)与环境保护(水质保护和富营养化控制)之间战略互动的替代工具。地理信息系统被用来简洁地说明和计算各种土地利用类型的面积。MOGM 方法学在台湾曾文水库的多目标流域管理案例研究中得到了说明。MOGM 的创新和优势可以在结果中看到,这些结果平衡了流域管理中的经济和环境关注,并且可以由决策者轻松解释。相比之下,使用传统多目标方法生成许多替代方案的决策过程被发现更加困难。

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