Raquel Salazar, Ferenc Szidarovszky, Emery Coppola, Abraham Rojano
PUIMECI, Universidad Autónoma Chapingo, Km 38.5 Carr. México Texcoco, Chapingo Edo., México 56230, Mexico.
J Environ Manage. 2007 Sep;84(4):560-71. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2006.07.011. Epub 2006 Sep 22.
Exploitation of scarce water resources, particularly in areas of high demand, inevitably produces conflict among disparate stakeholders, each of whom may have their own set of priorities. In order to arrive at a socially acceptable compromise, the decision-makers should seek an optimal trade-off between conflicting objectives that reflect the priorities of the various stakeholders. In this study, game theory was applied to a multiobjective conflict problem for the Alto Rio Lerma Irrigation District, located in the state of Guanajuato in Mexico, where economic benefits from agricultural production should be balanced with associated negative environmental impacts. The short period of rainfall in this area, combined with high groundwater withdrawals from irrigation wells, has produced severe aquifer overdraft. In addition, current agricultural practices of applying high loads of fertilizers and pesticides have contaminated regions of the aquifer. The net economic benefit to this agricultural region in the short-term lies with increasing crop yields, which requires large pumping extractions for irrigation as well as high chemical loading. In the longer term, this can produce economic loss due to higher pumping costs (i.e., higher lift requirements), or even loss of the aquifer as a viable source of water. Negative environmental impacts include continued diminishment of groundwater quality, and declining groundwater levels in the basin, which can damage surface water systems that support environmental habitats. The two primary stakeholders or players, the farmers in the irrigation district and the community at large, must find an optimal balance between positive economic benefits and negative environmental impacts. In this paper, game theory was applied to find the optimal solution between the two conflicting objectives among 12 alternative groundwater extraction scenarios. Different attributes were used to quantify the benefits and costs of the two objectives, and, following generation of the Pareto frontier or trade-off curve, four conflict resolution methods were then applied.
对稀缺水资源的开发利用,尤其是在高需求地区,不可避免地会在不同利益相关者之间引发冲突,每个利益相关者可能都有自己的一套优先事项。为了达成社会可接受的妥协方案,决策者应在反映各利益相关者优先事项的相互冲突目标之间寻求最佳权衡。在本研究中,博弈论被应用于墨西哥瓜纳华托州阿尔托里约勒尔马灌区的一个多目标冲突问题,在该地区,农业生产的经济效益应与相关的负面环境影响相平衡。该地区降雨期短,加上灌溉井大量抽取地下水,导致含水层严重超采。此外,目前高负荷施用化肥和农药的农业做法已经污染了含水层区域。该农业地区的短期净经济效益在于提高作物产量,这需要大量抽水用于灌溉以及高化学负荷投入。从长远来看,这可能会因抽水成本增加(即更高的扬程要求)而导致经济损失,甚至可能导致含水层作为可行水源的丧失。负面环境影响包括地下水质量持续下降以及流域地下水位下降,这可能会破坏支持环境栖息地的地表水系统。两个主要利益相关者或参与者,即灌区的农民和广大社区,必须在积极的经济效益和负面的环境影响之间找到最佳平衡。在本文中,博弈论被用于在12种替代地下水抽取方案中找到两个相互冲突目标之间的最优解。使用不同的属性来量化两个目标的收益和成本,在生成帕累托前沿或权衡曲线之后,接着应用了四种冲突解决方法。