Department of Molecular Medicine and Surgery, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden.
Br J Surg. 2012 May;99(5):699-705. doi: 10.1002/bjs.8679. Epub 2012 Jan 27.
This was a population-based cohort study to determine the incidence, prevalence and risk factors for peritoneal carcinomatosis (PC) from colorectal cancer.
Prospectively collected data were obtained from the Regional Quality Registry. The Cox proportional hazards regression model was used for multivariable analysis of clinicopathological factors to determine independent predictors of PC.
All 11 124 patients with colorectal cancer in Stockholm County during 1995-2007 were included and followed until 2010. In total, 924 patients (8.3 per cent) had synchronous or metachronous PC. PC was the first and only localization of metastases in 535 patients (4.8 per cent). The prevalence of synchronous PC was 4.3 per cent (477 of 11 124). The cumulative incidence of metachronous PC was 4.2 per cent (447 of 10 646). Independent predictors for metachronous PC were colonic cancer (hazard ratio (HR) 1.77, 95 per cent confidence interval 1.31 to 2.39; P = 0.002 for right-sided colonic cancer), advanced tumour (T) status (HR 9.98, 3.10 to 32.11; P < 0.001 for T4), advanced node (N) status (HR 7.41, 4.78 to 11.51; P < 0.001 for N2 with fewer than 12 lymph nodes examined), emergency surgery (HR 2.11, 1.66 to 2.69; P < 0.001) and non-radical resection of the primary tumour (HR 2.75, 2.10 to 3.61; P < 0.001 for R2 resection). Patients aged > 70 years had a decreased risk of metachronous PC (HR 0.69, 0.55 to 0.87; P = 0.003).
PC is common in patients with colorectal cancer and is associated with identifiable risk factors.
本研究是一项基于人群的队列研究,旨在确定结直肠癌患者腹膜癌(PC)的发病率、患病率和危险因素。
从区域质量登记处收集前瞻性数据。使用 Cox 比例风险回归模型对临床病理因素进行多变量分析,以确定 PC 的独立预测因素。
纳入了 1995 年至 2007 年期间斯德哥尔摩县所有 11124 例结直肠癌患者,并随访至 2010 年。共有 924 例(8.3%)患者发生同步或异时性 PC。535 例(4.8%)患者的 PC 是首发且唯一转移部位。同期 PC 的患病率为 4.3%(477/11124)。异时性 PC 的累积发生率为 4.2%(447/10646)。异时性 PC 的独立预测因素为结肠癌(危险比(HR)1.77,95%置信区间 1.31-2.39;右侧结肠癌 P = 0.002)、肿瘤进展(T)状态(HR 9.98,3.10-32.11;T4 期 P <0.001)、淋巴结进展(N)状态(HR 7.41,4.78-11.51;检查淋巴结数<12 个的 N2 期 P <0.001)、急诊手术(HR 2.11,1.66-2.69;P <0.001)和原发肿瘤非根治性切除(HR 2.75,2.10-3.61;R2 切除 P <0.001)。年龄>70 岁的患者发生异时性 PC 的风险降低(HR 0.69,0.55-0.87;P = 0.003)。
PC 在结直肠癌患者中很常见,与可识别的危险因素相关。