Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2012 Feb;86(2):373-380. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.2012.11-0450.
We estimated Rift Valley fever (RVF) incidence as a function of geological, geographical, and climatological factors during the 2006-2007 RVF epidemic in Kenya. Location information was obtained for 214 of 340 (63%) confirmed and probable RVF cases that occurred during an outbreak from November 1, 2006 to February 28, 2007. Locations with subtypes of solonetz, calcisols, solonchaks, and planosols soil types were highly associated with RVF occurrence during the outbreak period. Increased rainfall and higher greenness measures before the outbreak were associated with increased risk. RVF was more likely to occur on plains, in densely bushed areas, at lower elevations, and in the Somalia acacia ecological zone. Cases occurred in three spatial temporal clusters that differed by the date of associated rainfall, soil type, and land usage.
我们估计了 2006-2007 年肯尼亚裂谷热(RVF)流行期间地质、地理和气候因素对裂谷热发病率的影响。在 2006 年 11 月 1 日至 2007 年 2 月 28 日爆发期间,我们获得了 340 例确诊和可能的裂谷热病例中的 214 例(63%)的位置信息。爆发期间,与 solonetz、calcisols、solonchaks 和 planosols 土壤类型的亚型相关的地点与裂谷热的发生高度相关。爆发前降雨量增加和更高的绿色度与风险增加有关。裂谷热更可能发生在平原、茂密的灌木丛地区、较低的海拔地区和索马里金合欢生态区。病例发生在三个时空集群中,这些集群的区别在于相关降雨、土壤类型和土地使用的日期不同。