National Cancer Registry Ireland, Cork Airport Business Park, Building 6800, Kinsale Road, Cork, Ireland.
Br J Cancer. 2012 Feb 28;106(5):805-16. doi: 10.1038/bjc.2011.580. Epub 2012 Feb 16.
Several colorectal cancer-screening tests are available, but it is uncertain which provides the best balance of risks and benefits within a screening programme. We evaluated cost-effectiveness of a population-based screening programme in Ireland based on (i) biennial guaiac-based faecal occult blood testing (gFOBT) at ages 55-74, with reflex faecal immunochemical testing (FIT); (ii) biennial FIT at ages 55-74; and (iii) once-only flexible sigmoidoscopy (FSIG) at age 60.
A state-transition model was used to estimate costs and outcomes for each screening scenario vs no screening. A third party payer perspective was adopted. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses were undertaken.
All scenarios would be considered highly cost-effective compared with no screening. The lowest incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER vs no screening euro 589 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained) was found for FSIG, followed by FIT euro 1696) and gFOBT (euro 4428); gFOBT was dominated. Compared with FSIG, FIT was associated with greater gains in QALYs and reductions in lifetime cancer incidence and mortality, but was more costly, required considerably more colonoscopies and resulted in more complications. Results were robust to variations in parameter estimates.
Population-based screening based on FIT is expected to result in greater health gains than a policy of gFOBT (with reflex FIT) or once-only FSIG, but would require significantly more colonoscopy resources and result in more individuals experiencing adverse effects. Weighing these advantages and disadvantages presents a considerable challenge to policy makers.
有几种结直肠癌筛查检测方法,但在筛查项目中,哪种方法能在风险和获益之间达到最佳平衡还不确定。我们评估了爱尔兰基于人群的筛查项目的成本效益,该项目基于(i)55-74 岁时每两年进行一次基于愈创木脂的粪便隐血试验(gFOBT),并进行粪便免疫化学检测(FIT);(ii)55-74 岁时每两年进行一次 FIT;和(iii)60 岁时进行一次性乙状结肠镜检查(FSIG)。
采用状态转移模型来估计每种筛查方案与不筛查相比的成本和结果。采用第三方支付者视角。进行了概率敏感性分析。
与不筛查相比,所有方案都被认为具有高度成本效益。最低增量成本效益比(与不筛查相比,每增加一个质量调整生命年(QALY)的增量成本,FSIG 为欧元 589,FIT 为欧元 1696,gFOBT 为欧元 4428)为 FSIG,其次是 FIT(欧元 1696)和 gFOBT(欧元 4428);gFOBT 则处于劣势。与 FSIG 相比,FIT 能带来更多的 QALY 获益,并降低终生癌症发病率和死亡率,但成本更高,需要进行更多的结肠镜检查,并导致更多的并发症。结果在参数估计的变化下是稳健的。
基于 FIT 的人群筛查预计将比 gFOBT(与反射 FIT)或一次性 FSIG 政策带来更大的健康获益,但需要更多的结肠镜检查资源,并导致更多的个体经历不良反应。权衡这些利弊对政策制定者来说是一个巨大的挑战。