Palta M, Gabbert D, Fryback D, Widjaja I, Peters M E, Farrell P, Johnson J
University of Wisconsin, Madison.
Pediatrics. 1990 Nov;86(5):714-21.
An accurate description of the population at risk for neonatal chronic lung disease is clearly of prime importance for comparative studies and the planning of interventions. Attempts to explain variations in chronic lung disease rates in such studies have been compromised by lack of a way of estimating the severity of the initial pulmonary disease as a risk factor. Therefore, a severity index was developed for use in very low birth weight (less than 1501 g) neonates. Special emphasis was placed on applicability of the index in the multicenter observational setting. Development followed a clinician panel approach, with the resulting index designed to capture clinical judgment of severity. The index was validated prospectively on neonates in a neonatal intensive care unit, and retrospectively using charts from nine hospitals nationwide. Correlations of the index with clinical judgment in the two samples were .95 and .93, respectively. In an additional validation the index combined with birth weight correctly predicted oxygen dependence status at 30 days in 36 of 42 neonates consecutively admitted to five neonatal intensive care units (P = .002). Birth weight and the severity index contributed about equally to the prediction, and therefore they seem to represent partly independent components of baseline propensity for prolonged oxygen dependence.
对于新生儿慢性肺病高危人群的准确描述,显然对于比较研究和干预措施规划至关重要。在这类研究中,由于缺乏一种将初始肺部疾病严重程度作为危险因素进行评估的方法,解释慢性肺病发生率差异的尝试受到了影响。因此,开发了一种严重程度指数,用于极低出生体重(低于1501克)的新生儿。特别强调了该指数在多中心观察环境中的适用性。开发过程采用了临床医生小组方法,最终的指数旨在体现对严重程度的临床判断。该指数在新生儿重症监护病房对新生儿进行了前瞻性验证,并利用全国九家医院的病历进行了回顾性验证。在这两个样本中,该指数与临床判断的相关性分别为0.95和0.93。在另一项验证中,该指数与出生体重相结合,在连续入住五个新生儿重症监护病房的42例新生儿中,正确预测了30天时的氧依赖状态,其中36例预测正确(P = 0.002)。出生体重和严重程度指数对预测的贡献大致相同,因此它们似乎代表了长期氧依赖基线倾向的部分独立组成部分。