Faculdade de Medicina da Universidade de São Paulo, Physical Therapy, Speech and Occupational Therapy Department, Brazil.
Clinics (Sao Paulo). 2012;67(2):151-6. doi: 10.6061/clinics/2012(02)10.
This study proposes a new approach that considers uncertainty in predicting and quantifying the presence and severity of diabetic peripheral neuropathy.
A rule-based fuzzy expert system was designed by four experts in diabetic neuropathy. The model variables were used to classify neuropathy in diabetic patients, defining it as mild, moderate, or severe. System performance was evaluated by means of the Kappa agreement measure, comparing the results of the model with those generated by the experts in an assessment of 50 patients. Accuracy was evaluated by an ROC curve analysis obtained based on 50 other cases; the results of those clinical assessments were considered to be the gold standard.
According to the Kappa analysis, the model was in moderate agreement with expert opinions. The ROC analysis (evaluation of accuracy) determined an area under the curve equal to 0.91, demonstrating very good consistency in classifying patients with diabetic neuropathy.
The model efficiently classified diabetic patients with different degrees of neuropathy severity. In addition, the model provides a way to quantify diabetic neuropathy severity and allows a more accurate patient condition assessment.
本研究提出了一种新方法,旨在考虑预测和量化糖尿病周围神经病变的存在和严重程度时的不确定性。
由四位糖尿病周围神经病专家设计了基于规则的模糊专家系统。模型变量用于对糖尿病患者的神经病变进行分类,将其定义为轻度、中度或重度。通过 Kappa 一致性测量评估系统性能,将模型结果与专家对 50 名患者评估的结果进行比较。通过对 50 例其他病例的 ROC 曲线分析评估准确性,将这些临床评估结果视为金标准。
根据 Kappa 分析,该模型与专家意见中度一致。ROC 分析(评估准确性)确定曲线下面积等于 0.91,表明对糖尿病周围神经病变患者进行分类具有非常好的一致性。
该模型能够有效地对不同程度的糖尿病周围神经病变患者进行分类。此外,该模型还提供了一种量化糖尿病周围神经病变严重程度的方法,能够更准确地评估患者的病情。