National Oceanography Centre, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
Science. 2012 Feb 24;335(6071):956-9. doi: 10.1126/science.1216629.
The disintegration of the Classic Maya civilization in the Yucatán Peninsula and Central America was a complex process that occurred over an approximately 200-year interval and involved a catastrophic depopulation of the region. Although it is well established that the civilization collapse coincided with widespread episodes of drought, their nature and severity remain enigmatic. We present a quantitative analysis that offers a coherent interpretation of four of the most detailed paleoclimate records of the event. We conclude that the droughts occurring during the disintegration of the Maya civilization represented up to a 40% reduction in annual precipitation, probably due to a reduction in summer season tropical storm frequency and intensity.
尤卡坦半岛和中美洲古玛雅文明的瓦解是一个复杂的过程,大约持续了 200 年,涉及到该地区人口的灾难性减少。尽管已经确定文明的崩溃与广泛的干旱期同时发生,但它们的性质和严重程度仍然是个谜。我们提出了一种定量分析,为该事件的四个最详细的古气候记录提供了一个连贯的解释。我们的结论是,在玛雅文明瓦解期间发生的干旱导致年降水量减少了 40%,这可能是由于夏季热带风暴频率和强度的降低所致。