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随机广义矩方法

Stochastic Generalized Method of Moments.

作者信息

Yin Guosheng, Ma Yanyuan, Liang Faming, Yuan Ying

机构信息

Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong.

出版信息

J Comput Graph Stat. 2011 Sep 1;20(3):714-727. doi: 10.1198/jcgs.2011.09210.

Abstract

The generalized method of moments (GMM) is a very popular estimation and inference procedure based on moment conditions. When likelihood-based methods are difficult to implement, one can often derive various moment conditions and construct the GMM objective function. However, minimization of the objective function in the GMM may be challenging, especially over a large parameter space. Due to the special structure of the GMM, we propose a new sampling-based algorithm, the stochastic GMM sampler, which replaces the multivariate minimization problem by a series of conditional sampling procedures. We develop the theoretical properties of the proposed iterative Monte Carlo method, and demonstrate its superior performance over other GMM estimation procedures in simulation studies. As an illustration, we apply the stochastic GMM sampler to a Medfly life longevity study. Supplemental materials for the article are available online.

摘要

广义矩方法(GMM)是一种基于矩条件的非常流行的估计和推断程序。当基于似然的方法难以实施时,通常可以推导各种矩条件并构建GMM目标函数。然而,GMM中目标函数的最小化可能具有挑战性,特别是在大参数空间上。由于GMM的特殊结构,我们提出了一种新的基于采样的算法,即随机GMM采样器,它通过一系列条件采样程序取代了多元最小化问题。我们推导了所提出的迭代蒙特卡罗方法的理论性质,并在模拟研究中证明了其相对于其他GMM估计程序的优越性能。作为一个例证,我们将随机GMM采样器应用于地中海实蝇寿命研究。本文的补充材料可在线获取。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7534/3286612/fd3d4df17e21/nihms356401f1.jpg

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