Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
J Clin Oncol. 2012 Apr 1;30(10):1064-71. doi: 10.1200/JCO.2011.36.8647. Epub 2012 Mar 5.
The 2006 American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) guideline recommended primary prophylaxis (PP) with granulocyte colony-stimulating factor (G-CSF) instead of secondary prophylaxis (SP) for elderly patients with diffuse aggressive lymphoma receiving chemotherapy. We examined the cost-effectiveness of PP when compared with SP.
We conducted a cost-utility analysis to compare PP to SP for diffuse aggressive lymphoma. We used a Markov model with an eight-cycle chemotherapy time horizon with a government-payer perspective and Ontario health, economic, and cost data. Data for efficacies of G-CSF, probabilities, and utilities were obtained from published literature. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) was conducted.
The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of PP to SP was $700,500 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY). One-way sensitivity analyses (willingness-to-pay threshold = $100,000/QALY) showed that if PP were to be cost-effective, the cost of hospitalization for febrile neutropenia (FN) had to be more than $31,138 (2.5 × > base case), the cost of G-CSF per cycle less than $960 (base case = $1,960), the risk of first-cycle FN more than 47% (base case = 24%), or the relative risk reduction of FN with G-CSF more than 91% (base case = 41%). Our result was robust to all variables. PSA revealed a 10% probability of PP being cost-effective over SP at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000/QALY.
PP is not cost-effective when compared with SP in this population. PP becomes attractive only if the cost of hospitalization for FN is significantly higher or the cost of G-CSF is significantly lower.
2006 年美国临床肿瘤学会(ASCO)指南建议,对于接受化疗的老年弥漫性侵袭性淋巴瘤患者,采用粒细胞集落刺激因子(G-CSF)进行初级预防(PP)而非二级预防(SP)。我们考察了 PP 相较于 SP 的成本效益。
我们开展了一项成本效用分析,以比较 PP 与 SP 用于弥漫性侵袭性淋巴瘤的情况。我们使用一个具有 8 个化疗周期的 Markov 模型,从政府支付者的角度以及安大略省的健康、经济和成本数据出发。G-CSF 的疗效、概率和效用数据来自已发表的文献。我们进行了概率敏感性分析(PSA)。
PP 相较于 SP 的增量成本效益比为每质量调整生命年(QALY)700500 美元。单因素敏感性分析(意愿支付阈值=100000 美元/QALY)显示,如果 PP 具有成本效益,那么发热性中性粒细胞减少症(FN)住院治疗费用必须超过 31138 美元(高于基数案例 2.5 倍)、每周期 G-CSF 的费用必须低于 960 美元(基数案例=1960 美元)、第一周期 FN 的风险必须超过 47%(基数案例=24%)或 G-CSF 降低 FN 风险的相对风险比必须超过 91%(基数案例=41%)。我们的结果对所有变量都具有稳健性。PSA 显示,在意愿支付阈值为 100000 美元/QALY 时,PP 具有成本效益的概率为 10%。
在该人群中,PP 相较于 SP 并不具有成本效益。只有 FN 住院治疗费用显著提高或 G-CSF 成本显著降低,PP 才具有吸引力。