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移动电话与多发性硬化症——丹麦全国队列研究。

Mobile phones and multiple sclerosis--a nationwide cohort study in Denmark.

机构信息

Institute of Cancer Epidemiology, Danish Cancer Society, Copenhagen, Denmark.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2012;7(4):e34453. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0034453. Epub 2012 Apr 30.

Abstract

We investigated the risk of, prognosis of and symptoms of multiple sclerosis (MS) among all Danish residents who owned a mobile phone subscription before 1996. Using the Danish Multiple Sclerosis Registry and Civil Registration System, study subjects were followed up for MS through 2004. Poisson models were used to calculate incidence rate ratios (IRR, age range: 18-64 years) and mortality rate ratios (MRR, age range: 18+) and to compare presenting symptoms among subscribers and all non-subscribers. A total of 405 971 subscription holders accrued four million years of follow up, with men accounting for 86% of the observation time. Among subscription holding men, the IRR of MS was close to unity, overall as well as 13+ years after first subscription (IRR 1.02, 95% CI: 0.48-2.16). Among women, the IRR was 3.43 (95% CI: 0.86-13.72) 13+ years after first subscription, however, based on only two cases. Presenting symptoms of MS differed between subscribers and non-subscribers (p = 0.03), with slightly increased risk of diplopia in both genders (IRR: 1.38, 95% CI: 1.02-1.86), an increased risk of fatigue among women (IRR: 3.02, 95% CI: 1.45-6.28), and of optic neuritis among men (IRR: 1.38, 95% CI: 1.03-1.86). Overall the MRR was close to one (MRR: 0.91, 95%CI 0.70-1.19) among MS-patients with a subscription and although we observed some increased MRR estimates among women, these were based on small numbers. In conclusion, we found little evidence for a pronounced association between mobile phone use and risk of MS or mortality rate among MS patients. Symptoms of MS differed between subscribers and nonsubscribers for symptoms previously suggested to be associated with mobile phone use. This deserves further attention, as does the increased long-term risk of MS among female subscribers, although small numbers and lack of consistency between genders prevent causal interpretation.

摘要

我们调查了所有丹麦居民的多发性硬化症(MS)的发病风险、预后和症状,这些居民在 1996 年之前都拥有移动电话订阅服务。利用丹麦多发性硬化症登记处和民事登记系统,对研究对象进行了 MS 随访,随访时间截至 2004 年。使用泊松模型计算发病率比(IRR,年龄范围:18-64 岁)和死亡率比(MRR,年龄范围:18+),并比较订阅者和所有非订阅者的首发症状。共有 405971 名订阅者积累了四百万年的随访时间,其中男性占观察时间的 86%。在男性订阅者中,MS 的 IRR 接近 1,整体和首次订阅后 13 年以上(IRR1.02,95%CI:0.48-2.16)也是如此。然而,在女性中,首次订阅后 13 年的 IRR 为 3.43(95%CI:0.86-13.72),但仅基于两个病例。MS 的首发症状在订阅者和非订阅者之间存在差异(p=0.03),两种性别中复视的风险略有增加(IRR:1.38,95%CI:1.02-1.86),女性中疲劳的风险增加(IRR:3.02,95%CI:1.45-6.28),男性中视神经炎的风险增加(IRR:1.38,95%CI:1.03-1.86)。总体而言,MS 患者的订阅者的 MRR 接近 1(MRR:0.91,95%CI0.70-1.19),尽管我们观察到女性中的一些 MRR 估计值有所增加,但这些都是基于少数病例。总之,我们几乎没有发现移动电话使用与 MS 风险或 MS 患者死亡率之间存在明显关联的证据。订阅者和非订阅者的 MS 症状存在差异,此前认为这些症状与移动电话使用有关。这值得进一步关注,因为女性订阅者长期患 MS 的风险增加,尽管男性人数较少且性别之间缺乏一致性,无法进行因果解释。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7f30/3340386/f21a3075121c/pone.0034453.g001.jpg

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