Department of Preventive Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
Korean Circ J. 2012 Apr;42(4):223-8. doi: 10.4070/kcj.2012.42.4.223. Epub 2012 Apr 26.
Coronary heart disease (CHD) is a significant cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Many risk prediction models have been developed in an effort to assist clinicians in risk assessment and the prevention of CHD. However, it is unclear whether the existing CHD prediction tools can improve clinical performance, and recently, there has been a lot of effort being made to improve the accuracy of the prediction models. A large number of novel biomarkers have been identified to be associated with cardiovascular risk, and studied with the goal of improving the accuracy and clinical utility of CHD risk prediction. Yet, controversy still remains with regard to the utility of novel biomarkers in CHD risk assessment, and in finding the best statistical methods to assess the incremental value of the biomarkers. This article discusses the statistical approaches that can be used to evaluate the predictive values of new biomarkers, and reviews the clinical utility of novel biomarkers in CHD prediction, specifically in the Korean population.
冠心病(CHD)是全球发病率和死亡率的重要原因。为了帮助临床医生进行风险评估和预防 CHD,已经开发了许多风险预测模型。然而,目前尚不清楚现有的 CHD 预测工具是否可以提高临床性能,最近,人们一直在努力提高预测模型的准确性。大量新的生物标志物已被确定与心血管风险相关,并进行了研究,以提高 CHD 风险预测的准确性和临床实用性。然而,新型生物标志物在 CHD 风险评估中的实用性以及寻找评估生物标志物增量价值的最佳统计方法仍存在争议。本文讨论了可用于评估新型生物标志物预测值的统计方法,并回顾了新型生物标志物在 CHD 预测中的临床实用性,特别是在韩国人群中。