Université de Lyon, UMRESTTE-IFSTTAR, Lyon, France.
Traffic Inj Prev. 2012;13(3):239-48. doi: 10.1080/15389588.2011.647139.
The objective of the present study was to validate sequelae prediction by the Maximal Injury Impairment Score (M-IIS) in comparison with the Functional Independence Measure (FIM) assessed at 1-year follow-up of severe road crash victims.
The study population came from "the Etude et Suivi d'une Population d'Accidentés de la Route dans le Rhône" (ESPARR; Rhône Area Road Crash Victim Follow-up Study) cohort: 178 victims (with Maximal Abbreviated Injury Scale ≥ 3) of road crashes in the Rhône administrative department of France, aged ≥ 16 years and with medical examination including FIM scoring 1 year postaccident. Two thresholds were tested for both scores. Firstly, the relation between FIM and M-IIS was assessed on logistic regression models adjusted on age and presence of complications at 1 year postaccident. The predictive capacity of M-IIS was expressed as its negative and positive predictive values and was considered good when 80 percent or better.
Sixty-three of the 178 adult subjects (mean age = 37.7 years; range = 16.1-82.9 years) showed postaccident complications. One-year sequelae prediction on M-IIS was greater in head, spine, and limb lesions but limited to slight impairments (M-IIS = 1). There was a significant correlation between FIM and M-IIS, although age and medical complications were confounding factors on certain multivariate models. The predictive capacity of M-IIS was low for all types of sequelae.
M-IIS, in this severely injured population, failed to predict sequelae at 1 year as measured by the FIM, despite a good correlation between the two. Complications are to be taken into account in assessing the M-IIS's capacity to predict sequelae. Further evaluation will be needed on larger series or assessment of other indicators and measures of sequelae at 1 year to obtain a robust tool to predict road crash sequelae.
本研究旨在通过与 1 年后的功能独立性测量(FIM)评估相比,验证最大损伤损伤评分(M-IIS)对严重道路碰撞受害者的后遗症预测。
研究人群来自法国罗纳行政部门的“ESPARR;罗纳地区道路碰撞受害者随访研究”队列:178 名道路碰撞受害者(最大简略损伤量表≥3),年龄≥16 岁,在事故后 1 年进行了包括 FIM 评分在内的医学检查。测试了两个分数的两个阈值。首先,在调整年龄和 1 年后并发症存在的情况下,使用逻辑回归模型评估 FIM 和 M-IIS 之间的关系。M-IIS 的预测能力表示为其阴性和阳性预测值,当达到 80%或更高时,认为其预测能力良好。
178 名成年受试者中有 63 名(平均年龄=37.7 岁;范围=16.1-82.9 岁)在事故后出现并发症。在头部、脊柱和四肢损伤中,M-IIS(=1)对 1 年后的后遗症预测更大,但仅限于轻微损伤。尽管年龄和医学并发症是某些多变量模型的混杂因素,但 FIM 和 M-IIS 之间存在显著相关性。M-IIS 对所有类型的后遗症的预测能力都较低。
在这一严重受伤人群中,尽管两者相关性良好,但 M-IIS 未能预测 1 年后 FIM 测量的后遗症。在评估 M-IIS 预测后遗症的能力时,应考虑并发症。需要进一步在更大的系列或对其他指标和 1 年后后遗症的措施进行评估,以获得预测道路碰撞后遗症的可靠工具。