State Key Laboratory of Environmental Aquatic Chemistry, Research Centre for Eco-Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100085, China.
Water Res. 2012 Sep 1;46(13):4272-80. doi: 10.1016/j.watres.2012.05.012. Epub 2012 May 16.
A comprehensive quantitative microbial risk assessment (QMRA) of Cryptosporidium infection, considering pathogen removal efficiency, different exposure pathways and different susceptible subpopulations, was performed based on the result of a survey of source water from 66 waterworks in 33 major cities across China. The Cryptosporidium concentrations in source water were 0-6 oocysts/10 L, with a mean value of 0.7 oocysts/10 L. The annual diarrhea morbidity caused by Cryptosporidium in drinking water was estimated to be 2701 (95% confidence interval (CI): 138-9381) cases per 100,000 immunodeficient persons and 148 (95% CI: 1-603) cases per 100,000 immunocompetent persons, giving an overall rate of 149.0 (95% CI: 1.3-606.4) cases per 100,000 population. The cryptosporidiosis burden associated with drinking water treated with the conventional process was calculated to be 8.31 × 10(-6) (95% CI: 0.34-30.93 × 10(-6)) disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) per person per year, which was higher than the reference risk level suggested by the World Health Organization (WHO), but lower than that suggested by the United States Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA). Sixty-six percent of the total health burden due to cryptosporidiosis that occurred in the immunodeficient subpopulation, and 90% of the total DALYs was attributed to adults aged 15-59 years. The sensitivity analysis highlighted the great importance of stability of the treatment process and the importance of watershed protection. The results of this study will be useful in better evaluating and reducing the burden of Cryptosporidium infection.
基于对中国 33 个主要城市 66 个供水厂水源的调查结果,开展了针对隐孢子虫感染的综合定量微生物风险评估(QMRA),考虑了病原体去除效率、不同暴露途径和不同易感亚群。水源中隐孢子虫浓度为 0-6 个卵囊/10 升,平均值为 0.7 个卵囊/10 升。估计饮用水中隐孢子虫导致的年腹泻发病率为每 10 万免疫缺陷者 2701 例(95%置信区间(CI):138-9381),每 10 万免疫功能正常者 148 例(95%CI:1-603),总发病率为每 10 万人 149.0 例(95%CI:1.3-606.4)。采用常规工艺处理饮用水相关的隐孢子虫病负担估计为每人每年 8.31×10(-6)(95%CI:0.34-30.93×10(-6))伤残调整生命年(DALY),高于世界卫生组织(WHO)建议的参考风险水平,但低于美国环境保护署(USEPA)的建议水平。免疫缺陷亚群中发生的隐孢子虫病总健康负担的 66%,以及总 DALYs 的 90%归因于 15-59 岁的成年人。敏感性分析强调了处理过程稳定性和流域保护的重要性。本研究的结果将有助于更好地评估和降低隐孢子虫感染的负担。