University of Sydney, Faculty of Veterinary Science, Camden NSW 2570, Australia.
Prev Vet Med. 2012 Nov 1;107(1-2):21-6. doi: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2012.05.003. Epub 2012 Jun 4.
Anthropogenic and environmental factors were assessed as predictors of sub-districts in Bhutan that reported rabies in domestic animals during the period 1996-2009. Rabies surveillance data were retrieved from the Veterinary Information System database. Anthropogenic and environmental information were obtained from public data sources. Using the total number of rabies cases reported in domestic animals, the 205 sub-districts of Bhutan were categorized as those sub-districts that reported rabies and those that did not report rabies (n=146). Logistic regression models were fit to the data and odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals were estimated. Sub-districts that share a border with India (OR 10.43; 95% CI: 4.42-24.64; P<0.001); sub-districts connected by major roads (OR 3.09; 95% CI: 1.24-7.68; P=0.015); and greater human population density (OR 3.26; 95% CI: 1.48-7.21, P=0.003) were significantly associated with a sub-district reporting animal rabies in Bhutan during 1996-2009. Results suggest that human population characteristics play an important role in rabies occurrence.
评估人为和环境因素对 1996-2009 年期间报告国内动物狂犬病的不丹各区的预测作用。从兽医信息系统数据库中检索狂犬病监测数据。人为和环境信息从公共数据源获得。使用报告的国内动物狂犬病总病例数,将不丹的 205 个区分为报告狂犬病和未报告狂犬病的区(n=146)。对数据进行逻辑回归模型拟合,并估计比值比和 95%置信区间。与印度接壤的区(OR 10.43;95%CI:4.42-24.64;P<0.001);与主要道路相连的区(OR 3.09;95%CI:1.24-7.68;P=0.015);以及更高的人口密度(OR 3.26;95%CI:1.48-7.21,P=0.003)与不丹 1996-2009 年期间报告动物狂犬病的区显著相关。结果表明,人口特征在狂犬病发生中起着重要作用。