Department of Political Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2012 Jun 26;109(26):10263-8. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1205338109. Epub 2012 Jun 11.
Jared Diamond's Guns, Germs, and Steel [Diamond J, (1997) Guns, Germs, and Steel (WW Norton, NY)] has provided a scientific foundation for answering basic questions, such as why Eurasians colonized the global South and not the other way around, and why there is so much variance in economic development across the globe. Diamond's explanatory variables are: (i) the susceptibility of local wild plants to be developed for self-sufficient agriculture; (ii) the domesticability of large wild animals for food, transport, and agricultural production; and (iii) the relative lengths of the axes of continents with implications for the spread of human populations and technologies. This third "continental axis" thesis is the most difficult of Diamond's several explanatory factors to test, given that the number of continents are too few for statistical analysis. This article provides a test of one observable implication of this thesis, namely that linguistic diversity should be more persistent to the degree that a geographic area is oriented more north-south than east-west. Using both modern states and artificial geographic entities as the units of analysis, the results provide significant confirmation of the relationship between geographic orientation and cultural homogenization. Beyond providing empirical support for one observable implication of the continental axis theory, these results have important implications for understanding the roots of cultural diversity, which is an important determinant of economic growth, public goods provision, local violence, and social trust.
贾雷德·戴蒙德的《枪炮、病菌与钢铁》(贾雷德·戴蒙德著,1997 年,WW 诺顿出版社,纽约)为回答一些基本问题提供了科学依据,例如为什么欧亚人殖民了全球南方,而不是相反,以及为什么全球各地的经济发展存在如此大的差异。戴蒙德的解释变量有:(i)当地野生植物是否容易被开发为自给自足的农业;(ii)大型野生动物是否可以被驯化用于食物、运输和农业生产;以及(iii)大陆轴线的相对长度对人类种群和技术的传播有影响。第三个“大陆轴线”理论是戴蒙德几个解释因素中最难验证的,因为大陆的数量太少,无法进行统计分析。本文检验了该理论的一个可观察推论,即地理区域的南北向程度高于东西向程度,语言多样性的持续性应该更高。本文使用现代国家和人工地理实体作为分析单位,结果提供了地理方向与文化同质化之间关系的重要证实。除了为大陆轴线理论的一个可观察推论提供实证支持外,这些结果对于理解文化多样性的根源具有重要意义,文化多样性是经济增长、公共产品供应、地方暴力和社会信任的一个重要决定因素。