Healthy Infrastructure Research Centre, Civil, Environmental and Geomatic Engineering, University College London, London, UK.
Int J Tuberc Lung Dis. 2012 Aug;16(8):1023-9. doi: 10.5588/ijtld.11.0572. Epub 2012 Jun 11.
A combination of environmental measurement and mathematical modelling may provide a more quantitative method to inform the tuberculosis (TB) screening process in non-household settings following diagnosis of an infectious case.
To explore different methods for environmental assessment and mathematical modelling to predict TB transmission risk and devise a tool for public health practitioners for use in TB investigations.
Parameters including air flow, carbon dioxide (CO(2)) and airborne particles were measured over 3 working days in an office with a staff member with infectious TB. The Wells-Riley model was applied to predict transmission rates.
The results suggested that poor ventilation and well-mixed air led to equal exposure of staff members to airborne TB bacilli. The model's prediction of attack rate (42%) supported the actual number of infections that occurred (50%).
This study supports the use of environmental assessment and modelling as a tool for public health practitioners to determine the extent of TB exposure and to inform TB screening strategies. CO(2) and airborne particle profiles, both measured via a handheld device, provide the greatest practicality and amount of information that public health practitioners can use. Further studies will validate the level of screening required related to these measurements.
环境测量与数学建模的结合,可能为非家庭环境中确诊传染性病例后的结核病(TB)筛查过程提供更定量的方法。
探索不同的环境评估和数学建模方法来预测结核病传播风险,并为公共卫生从业者设计一种工具,用于结核病调查。
在一名患有传染性结核病的工作人员所在的办公室内,连续 3 个工作日测量了气流、二氧化碳(CO2)和空气传播颗粒等参数。应用 Wells-Riley 模型预测传播率。
结果表明,通风不良和空气充分混合导致工作人员接触到相同水平的空气中的结核杆菌。模型预测的发病率(42%)与实际发生的感染数量(50%)相符。
这项研究支持环境评估和建模作为公共卫生从业者的工具,用于确定结核病暴露程度,并为结核病筛查策略提供信息。通过手持式设备测量的 CO2 和空气传播颗粒谱,提供了公共卫生从业者最实用和信息量最大的信息。还需要进一步的研究来验证与这些测量相关的筛查水平。