Mittal Manoj K, Sun Guoying, Baren Jill M
Division of Emergency Medicine, The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA.
Pediatr Emerg Care. 2012 Jul;28(7):599-605. doi: 10.1097/PEC.0b013e31825cf576.
This study aimed to formulate a clinical decision rule (CDR) to identify infants with apparent-life threatening event (ALTE) who are at low risk of adverse outcome and can be discharged home safely from the emergency department (ED).
This is a prospective cohort study of infants with an ED diagnosis of ALTE at an urban children's hospital. Admission was considered warranted if the infant required significant intervention during the hospital stay. Logistic regression and recursive partitioning were used to develop a CDR identifying patients at low risk of significant intervention and thus suitable for discharge from the ED.
A total of 300 infants were enrolled; 228 (76%) were admitted; 37 (12%) required significant intervention. None died during hospital stay or within 72 hours of discharge or were diagnosed with serious bacterial infection. Logistic regression identified prematurity, abnormal result in the physical examination, color change to cyanosis, absence of symptoms of upper respiratory tract infection, and absence of choking as predictors for significant intervention. These variables were used to create a CDR, based on which, 184 infants (64%) could be discharged home safely from the ED, reducing the hospitalization rate to 102 (36%). The model has a negative predictive value of 96.2% (92%-98.3%).
Only 12% of infants presenting to the ED with ALTE had a significant intervention warranting hospital admission. We created a CDR that would have decreased the admission rate safely by 40%.
本研究旨在制定一项临床决策规则(CDR),以识别那些发生明显危及生命事件(ALTE)但不良结局风险较低、可从急诊科(ED)安全出院回家的婴儿。
这是一项对一家城市儿童医院急诊科诊断为ALTE的婴儿进行的前瞻性队列研究。如果婴儿在住院期间需要进行重大干预,则认为有必要入院。采用逻辑回归和递归划分法来制定一项CDR,以识别重大干预风险较低、因此适合从急诊科出院的患者。
共纳入300名婴儿;228名(76%)入院;37名(12%)需要进行重大干预。住院期间、出院后72小时内均无死亡病例,也无婴儿被诊断为严重细菌感染。逻辑回归确定早产、体格检查结果异常、皮肤颜色变为青紫、无呼吸道感染症状以及无呛噎为重大干预的预测因素。利用这些变量创建了一项CDR,据此,184名婴儿(64%)可从急诊科安全出院回家,将住院率降至102名(36%)。该模型的阴性预测值为96.2%(92%-98.3%)。
因ALTE就诊于急诊科的婴儿中,只有12%需要进行重大干预并因此需要入院治疗。我们创建了一项CDR,可安全地将入院率降低40%。