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自适应 alpha 分配方法的扩展,用于严格控制总体错误率。

Extension of adaptive alpha allocation methods for strong control of the family-wise error rate.

机构信息

Vertex Pharmaceuticals, 130 Waverly Street, Cambridge, MA, 02139, USA.

出版信息

Stat Med. 2013 Jan 30;32(2):181-95. doi: 10.1002/sim.5485. Epub 2012 Jul 16.

Abstract

With recent advancements in clinical trial design and the availability of rigorous statistical methods that provide strong control of the family-wise type I error rate for multiple testing of hypotheses, it is now common for sponsors to design clinical trials with prospectively specified multiple testing of hypotheses of both primary and secondary endpoints and with the intent to obtain labeling claims for secondary endpoints. One of these recent advancements in multiple testing techniques is the adaptive alpha allocation approach (4A) proposed by Li and Mehrotra (Statistics in Medicine 2008; 27:5377-5391), which groups the hypotheses into two families on the basis of perceived trial power and allows the significance level for the second family to be set adaptively on the basis of the largest observed p-value in the first family. We introduce a class of flexible functions that generalize the 4A procedure and can lead to relatively more powerful test statistics. In the case when the test statistics are correlated, we introduce well-defined functions to calculate the significance level for the second family. The numerical computation for our methods is straightforward, making application in practice easy.

摘要

随着临床试验设计的最新进展和严格的统计方法的可用性,这些方法为假设的多次检验提供了强有力的控制家族错误率的方法,现在赞助商通常会设计具有前瞻性指定的主要和次要终点假设的多次检验的临床试验,并且有意获得次要终点的标签声明。这些多次检验技术的最新进展之一是 Li 和 Mehrotra(2008 年的《统计医学》;27:5377-5391)提出的自适应α分配方法(4A),该方法根据试验功效将假设分为两个家族,并允许根据第一个家族中观察到的最大 p 值自适应地设置第二个家族的显着性水平。我们引入了一类灵活的函数,这些函数推广了 4A 过程,可以导致相对更强大的检验统计量。在检验统计量相关的情况下,我们引入了明确定义的函数来计算第二组的显着性水平。我们方法的数值计算非常简单,使得在实践中易于应用。

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