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降钙素原和 C 反应蛋白预测莫桑比克住院严重肺炎患儿血培养阳性。

Procalcitonin and C-reactive protein as predictors of blood culture positivity among hospitalised children with severe pneumonia in Mozambique.

机构信息

Barcelona Centre for International Health Research, Universitat de Barcelona, Spain.

出版信息

Trop Med Int Health. 2012 Sep;17(9):1100-7. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-3156.2012.03035.x. Epub 2012 Jul 19.

DOI:10.1111/j.1365-3156.2012.03035.x
PMID:22809300
Abstract

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the benefits of using procalcitonin (PCT) and C-reactive protein (CRP) as pre-screening tools to predict blood culture positivity among Mozambican children with clinical severe pneumonia (CSP).

METHODS

586 children <5 years with CSP and no concurrent malaria fulfilled criteria to be included in the study groups. We determined PCT and CRP for all children with positive bacterial culture (BC+ group, n = 84) and of a random selection of children with negative bacterial culture (BC- group, n = 246).

RESULTS

PCT and CRP levels were higher in the BC+ group than the BC- one (PCT: median 7.73 versus 0.48 ng/ml, P < 0.001; CRP: 177.65 mg/l vs. 26.5 mg/l, P < 0.001). In multivariate analysis, PCT was the only independent predictor of the group. To be used as pre-screening tool, PCT presented higher specificities for predetermined sensitivities (≥85%) than CRP. Pursuing a sensitivity of 95%, PCT could reduce the need for bacterial culture by 49% and overall diagnosis costs by 7-35% [assuming variable costs for PCT measurement (ranging from 10 to 30 USD) and a fixed cost of 72.5 USD per blood culture].

CONCLUSIONS

Among hospitalised children with CSP and absence of concurrent malaria, PCT pre-screening could help reduce the number of blood cultures and diagnosis costs by specifically targeting patients more likely to yield positive results.

摘要

目的

评估降钙素原(PCT)和 C 反应蛋白(CRP)作为预筛选工具用于预测莫桑比克有临床重症肺炎(CSP)的儿童血培养阳性的益处。

方法

586 名<5 岁的 CSP 且无合并疟疾的儿童符合纳入研究组的标准。我们测定了所有血培养阳性(BC+组,n=84)和随机选择的血培养阴性(BC-组,n=246)儿童的 PCT 和 CRP。

结果

BC+组的 PCT 和 CRP 水平高于 BC-组(PCT:中位数 7.73 与 0.48ng/ml,P<0.001;CRP:177.65mg/l 与 26.5mg/l,P<0.001)。在多变量分析中,PCT 是该组的唯一独立预测因子。作为预筛选工具,PCT 具有比 CRP 更高的特定度,以达到预定的敏感度(≥85%)。为了达到 95%的敏感度,PCT 可以将细菌培养的需求减少 49%,并将整体诊断费用降低 7-35%[假设 PCT 测量的可变成本(从 10 美元到 30 美元不等)和每血培养的固定成本为 72.5 美元]。

结论

在无合并疟疾的住院 CSP 儿童中,PCT 预筛选可以通过专门针对更有可能产生阳性结果的患者,帮助减少血培养的数量和诊断费用。

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