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捷克铀矿工人的肺癌死亡率——暴露后60年

Lung cancer mortality among Czech uranium miners-60 years since exposure.

作者信息

Tomasek Ladislav

机构信息

National Radiation Protection Institute, Bartoskova 28, Prague, Czech Republic.

出版信息

J Radiol Prot. 2012 Sep;32(3):301-14. doi: 10.1088/0952-4746/32/3/301. Epub 2012 Jul 19.

Abstract

The present study is based on 9978 Czech uranium miners with 1141 lung cancer deaths observed in an updated follow-up 1952-2010 and corresponding to 31 years of mean follow-up. The objectives of the study are to obtain more reliable estimates for the exposure-response relationship, including factors that modify this relationship. Lung cancer in relation to cumulative exposure to radon decay products is linear with substantial modifications by time since exposure, age at exposure and exposure rate using exposure windows. The crude excess relative risk (ERR) per unit exposure in working level months (WLM) in the cohort is 0.0097 (90% confidence interval (CI) 0.0074-0.0127). The ERR/WLM corresponding to exposure rates below 7 working levels (WL) is substantially higher - 0.0145 (90% CI 0.0109-0.0193). In the final model, the inverse effect of exposure rate is observed for high exposure rates >7 WL with the ERR/WLM reduced to 31%. The ERR/WLM decreases to 32% and 9% in periods 20-29 and 30 +years since exposure in comparison to the period of 5-19 years since exposure. Simultaneously, the ERR/WLM decreases with age at exposure - 63% and 49% at ages 30-39 and 40 +years in comparison to age at exposure <30 years.

摘要

本研究基于9978名捷克铀矿工人,在1952 - 2010年的最新随访中观察到1141例肺癌死亡病例,平均随访时间为31年。该研究的目的是获得更可靠的暴露 - 反应关系估计值,包括改变这种关系的因素。与氡衰变产物累积暴露相关的肺癌呈线性关系,但自暴露以来的时间、暴露时的年龄以及使用暴露窗口的暴露率会对其产生显著影响。该队列中每工作水平月(WLM)单位暴露的粗超额相对风险(ERR)为0.0097(90%置信区间(CI)0.0074 - 0.0127)。对应暴露率低于7工作水平(WL)的ERR/WLM显著更高,为0.0145(90% CI 0.0109 - 0.0193)。在最终模型中,观察到暴露率对高暴露率>7 WL有反向影响,ERR/WLM降至31%。与暴露后5 - 19年的时间段相比,暴露后20 - 29年和30 +年的ERR/WLM分别降至32%和9%。同时,ERR/WLM随暴露时的年龄降低,与暴露时年龄<30岁相比,30 - 39岁和40 +岁时的ERR/WLM分别降低63%和49%。

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