Biggar R J
Danish Cancer Registry, Copenhagen.
AIDS. 1990 Nov;4(11):1059-66. doi: 10.1097/00002030-199011000-00002.
This study compares AIDS incubation in different geographic areas, calendar time of infection, exposure group and age at exposure. Investigators from North America, Europe and Australia contributed data from 1891 people for whom dates of HIV seroconversion were known. We excluded subjects not enrolled in prospective studies at entry and those with more than 25 months between last negative and first positive sera; we also censored subjects at the time last seen and excluded all follow-up after 1987 in order to minimize the impact of newly developed prophylactic therapies. The final analysis cohort contained 1171 subjects. Using actuarial methods, no differences in incubation times were found among homosexual men infected in different continents or in different years (prior to and after 1 January 1985). Among hemophilic people, children developed AIDS more slowly than adults (P = 0.02), and hemophilic adults developed AIDS more slowly than homosexual men (P less than 0.05), mainly because homosexual men had an added risk of Kaposi's sarcoma. Progression time to AIDS was significantly faster in older hemophilic men, but not in older homosexual men. These data illustrate that AIDS incubation may differ in different exposure groups, probably because of different exposures to potential opportunistic pathogens.
本研究比较了不同地理区域、感染的日历时间、暴露组以及暴露时年龄的艾滋病潜伏期。来自北美、欧洲和澳大利亚的研究人员提供了1891人的数据,这些人的HIV血清转化日期已知。我们排除了入组时未参加前瞻性研究的受试者以及最后一次阴性血清和首次阳性血清间隔超过25个月的受试者;我们还在最后一次观察时对受试者进行了截尾,并排除了1987年之后的所有随访,以尽量减少新开发的预防性治疗的影响。最终分析队列包含1171名受试者。使用精算方法,发现在不同大陆或不同年份(1985年1月1日之前和之后)感染的同性恋男性之间,潜伏期没有差异。在血友病患者中,儿童患艾滋病的速度比成人慢(P = 0.02),血友病成人患艾滋病的速度比同性恋男性慢(P < 0.05),主要是因为同性恋男性患卡波西肉瘤的风险更高。年龄较大的血友病男性进展到艾滋病的时间明显更快,但年龄较大的同性恋男性则不然。这些数据表明,不同暴露组的艾滋病潜伏期可能不同,这可能是由于对潜在机会性病原体的暴露不同所致。