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p值略低于0.05的奇特流行情况。

A peculiar prevalence of p values just below .05.

作者信息

Masicampo E J, Lalande Daniel R

机构信息

Department of Psychology, Wake Forest University, Winston-Salem, NC 27109, USA.

出版信息

Q J Exp Psychol (Hove). 2012;65(11):2271-9. doi: 10.1080/17470218.2012.711335. Epub 2012 Aug 2.

Abstract

In null hypothesis significance testing (NHST), p values are judged relative to an arbitrary threshold for significance (.05). The present work examined whether that standard influences the distribution of p values reported in the psychology literature. We examined a large subset of papers from three highly regarded journals. Distributions of p were found to be similar across the different journals. Moreover, p values were much more common immediately below .05 than would be expected based on the number of p values occurring in other ranges. This prevalence of p values just below the arbitrary criterion for significance was observed in all three journals. We discuss potential sources of this pattern, including publication bias and researcher degrees of freedom.

摘要

在零假设显著性检验(NHST)中,p值是相对于一个任意的显著性阈值(.05)来判断的。本研究考察了该标准是否会影响心理学文献中报告的p值分布。我们研究了来自三本备受推崇的期刊的大量论文子集。发现不同期刊的p值分布相似。此外,p值在刚好低于.05时比基于其他范围内出现的p值数量所预期的更为常见。在所有三本期刊中都观察到了刚好低于任意显著性标准的p值的这种普遍情况。我们讨论了这种模式的潜在来源,包括发表偏倚和研究者的自由度。

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