Centre for GeoGenetics, Natural History Museum, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Science. 2012 Aug 3;337(6094):569-73. doi: 10.1126/science.1220614.
Global warming is predicted to have a profound impact on the Greenland Ice Sheet and its contribution to global sea-level rise. Recent mass loss in the northwest of Greenland has been substantial. Using aerial photographs, we produced digital elevation models and extended the time record of recent observed marginal dynamic thinning back to the mid-1980s. We reveal two independent dynamic ice loss events on the northwestern Greenland Ice Sheet margin: from 1985 to 1993 and 2005 to 2010, which were separated by limited mass changes. Our results suggest that the ice mass changes in this sector were primarily caused by short-lived dynamic ice loss events rather than changes in the surface mass balance. This finding challenges predictions about the future response of the Greenland Ice Sheet to increasing global temperatures.
全球变暖预计将对格陵兰冰原及其对全球海平面上升的贡献产生深远影响。最近,格陵兰岛西北部的质量损失相当大。我们使用航空照片制作了数字高程模型,并将最近观测到的边缘动态变薄的时间记录延长到 20 世纪 80 年代中期。我们揭示了格陵兰岛西北部冰原边缘的两个独立的动态冰损失事件:1985 年至 1993 年和 2005 年至 2010 年,两次事件之间的质量变化有限。我们的研究结果表明,该区域的冰量变化主要是由短暂的动态冰损失事件引起的,而不是表面质量平衡的变化。这一发现挑战了关于未来全球气温升高对格陵兰冰原反应的预测。