Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology (EAWAG) and Swiss Federal Institute of Technology (ETH), Dübendorf, Switzerland.
Water Res. 2012 Oct 15;46(16):5185-96. doi: 10.1016/j.watres.2012.07.001. Epub 2012 Jul 23.
Inflow and Infiltration (I/I) into sewer systems is generally unwanted, because, among other things, it decreases the performance of wastewater treatment plants and increases combined sewage overflows. As sewer rehabilitation to reduce I/I is very expensive, water managers not only need methods to accurately measure I/I, but also they need sound approaches to assess the actual performance of implemented rehabilitation measures. However, such performance assessment is rarely performed. On the one hand, it is challenging to adequately take into account the variability of influential factors, such as hydro-meteorological conditions. On the other hand, it is currently not clear how experimental data can indeed support robust evidence for reduced I/I. In this paper, we therefore statistically assess the performance of rehabilitation measures to reduce I/I. This is possible by using observations in a suitable reference catchment as a control group and assessing the significance of the observed effect by regression analysis, which is well established in other disciplines. We successfully demonstrate the usefulness of the approach in a case study, where rehabilitation reduced groundwater infiltration by 23.9%. A reduction of stormwater inflow of 35.7%, however, was not statistically significant. Investigations into the experimental design of monitoring campaigns confirmed that the variability of the data as well as the number of observations collected before the rehabilitation impact the detection limit of the effect. This implies that it is difficult to improve the data quality after the rehabilitation has been implemented. Therefore, future practical applications should consider a careful experimental design. Further developments could employ more sophisticated monitoring methods, such as stable environmental isotopes, to directly observe the individual infiltration components. In addition, water managers should develop strategies to effectively communicate statistically not significant I/I reduction ratios to decision makers.
污水系统的进水(inflow)和入渗(infiltration,简称 I/I)通常是不受欢迎的,因为它会降低污水处理厂的性能,并增加合流制污水溢流。由于进行下水道修复以减少 I/I 的费用非常昂贵,因此水务管理人员不仅需要准确测量 I/I 的方法,还需要合理的方法来评估已实施的修复措施的实际性能。然而,这种性能评估很少进行。一方面,充分考虑诸如水文气象条件等影响因素的可变性具有挑战性。另一方面,目前尚不清楚实验数据如何确实可以为减少 I/I 提供有力的证据。因此,在本文中,我们从统计学角度评估了减少 I/I 的修复措施的性能。这可以通过使用合适的参考流域中的观测值作为对照组,并通过回归分析评估观察到的效果的显著性来实现,回归分析在其他学科中已经得到很好的应用。我们在一个案例研究中成功地证明了该方法的有效性,其中修复措施将地下水入渗减少了 23.9%。然而,雨水流入的减少 35.7%在统计学上并不显著。对监测活动的实验设计的调查证实,数据的可变性以及在修复影响之前收集的观测数量会影响效果的检测极限。这意味着在修复完成后,很难提高数据质量。因此,未来的实际应用应考虑仔细的实验设计。进一步的发展可以采用更复杂的监测方法,例如稳定的环境同位素,以直接观察各个入渗成分。此外,水务管理人员应制定策略,以便向决策者有效地传达统计学上不显著的 I/I 减少比例。