Immunohistochemical prognostication of Merkel cell carcinoma: p63 expression but not polyomavirus status correlates with outcome.

Merkel cell carcinoma (MCC) represents a cutaneous malignancy with high associated mortality. Numerous studies have attempted to define characteristics to more accurately predict outcome. Two recent studies have demonstrated that Merkel cell polyomavirus (MCPyV) seropositivity correlated with a better prognosis, while a third study revealed no difference. Expression of p63 by tumor cell nuclei has been shown to be associated with a worse prognosis in a European cohort. To better understand the relationship between prognosis and MCPyV or p63 status, we used immunohistochemistry to evaluate both attributes in 36 US patients with MCC. Our results show that when considered as a binary variable, p63 expression represents a strong risk factor (p < 0.0001, hazards ratio (HR) = ∞) for shortened survival. In addition, our results show that MCPyV status does not correlate with survival (p = 0.6067, HR = 1.27). Our study corroborates the European observation that p63 immunoexpression is useful as a prognostic tool. Larger studies will need to be performed in order to determine whether p63 status should be included in MCC staging, since our study is limited by its relative small size.