Injury Prevention Research Center and Department of Epidemiology, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA 52242-5000, USA.
Am J Epidemiol. 2012 Sep 1;176(5):443-55. doi: 10.1093/aje/kws120. Epub 2012 Aug 10.
The authors examined whether early ultrasound dating (≤20 weeks) of gestational age (GA) in small-for-gestational-age (SGA) fetuses may underestimate gestational duration and therefore the incidence of SGA birth. Within a population-based case-control study (May 2002-June 2005) of Iowa SGA births and preterm deliveries identified from birth records (n = 2,709), the authors illustrate a novel methodological approach with which to assess and correct for systematic underestimation of GA by early ultrasound in women with suspected SGA fetuses. After restricting the analysis to subjects with first-trimester prenatal care, a nonmissing date of the last menstrual period (LMP), and early ultrasound (n = 1,135), SGA subjects' ultrasound GA was 5.5 days less than their LMP GA, on average. Multivariable linear regression was conducted to determine the extent to which ultrasound GA predicted LMP dating and to correct for systematic misclassification that results after applying standard guidelines to adjudicate differences in these measures. In the unadjusted model, SGA subjects required a correction of +1.5 weeks to the ultrasound estimate. With adjustment for maternal age, smoking, and first-trimester vaginal bleeding, standard guidelines for adjudicating differences in ultrasound and LMP dating underestimated SGA birth by 12.9% and overestimated preterm delivery by 8.7%. This methodological approach can be applied by researchers using different study populations in similar research contexts.
作者研究了在胎儿生长受限(SGA)的早期超声检查(≤20 周)中,是否可能低估胎龄(GA),从而低估 SGA 出生的发生率。在一项基于人群的病例对照研究(2002 年 5 月至 2005 年 6 月)中,作者从出生记录中确定了爱荷华州的 SGA 分娩和早产病例(n=2709),并展示了一种新的方法学方法,用于评估和纠正怀疑有 SGA 胎儿的女性中早期超声对 GA 的系统低估。在将分析仅限于具有早孕产前保健、末次月经日期(LMP)无缺失和早期超声检查的受试者(n=1135)后,SGA 受试者的超声 GA 比他们的 LMP GA 平均少 5.5 天。进行多变量线性回归,以确定超声 GA 预测 LMP 日期的程度,并纠正在应用标准指南裁决这些指标差异后导致的系统分类错误。在未调整模型中,SGA 受试者需要对超声估计值进行+1.5 周的校正。在调整了母亲年龄、吸烟和早孕阴道出血后,用于裁决超声和 LMP 日期差异的标准指南低估了 SGA 出生的 12.9%,高估了早产的 8.7%。这种方法学方法可以由使用不同研究人群的研究人员在类似的研究背景下应用。