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二氧化硫暴露与巴西一座中型城市循环系统死亡的关联。

Association of sulfur dioxide exposure with circulatory system deaths in a medium-sized city in Brazil.

机构信息

Departamento de Medicina, Universidade de Taubaté, Taubaté, SP, Brasil.

出版信息

Braz J Med Biol Res. 2012 Nov;45(11):1080-5. doi: 10.1590/s0100-879x2012007500131. Epub 2012 Aug 16.

Abstract

There is a demonstrable association between exposure to air pollutants and deaths due to cardiovascular diseases. The objective of this study was to estimate the effects of exposure to sulfur dioxide on mortality due to circulatory diseases in individuals 50 years of age or older residing in São José dos Campos, SP. This was a time-series ecological study for the years 2003 to 2007 using information on deaths due to circulatory disease obtained from Datasus reports. Data on daily levels of pollutants, particulate matter, sulfur dioxide (SO2), ozone, temperature, and humidity were obtained from the São Paulo State Environmental Agency. Moving average models for 2 to 7 days were calculated by Poisson regression using the R software. Exposure to SO2 was analyzed using a unipollutant, bipollutant or multipollutant model adjusted for mean temperature and humidity. The relative risks with 95%CI were obtained and the percent decrease in risk was calculated. There were 1928 deaths with a daily mean (± SD) of 1.05 ± 1.03 (range: 0-6). Exposure to SO2 was significantly associated with mortality due to circulatory disease: RR = 1.04 (95%CI = 1.01 to 1.06) in the 7-day moving average, after adjusting for ozone. There was an 8.5% decrease in risk in the multipollutant model, proportional to a decrease of SO2 concentrations. The results of this study suggest that residents of medium-sized Brazilian cities with characteristics similar to those of São José dos Campos probably have health problems due to exposure to air pollutants.

摘要

暴露于空气污染物与心血管疾病导致的死亡之间存在明显关联。本研究旨在评估暴露于二氧化硫对圣保罗州圣若泽·多斯坎波斯市 50 岁及以上人群循环系统疾病死亡率的影响。这是一项 2003 年至 2007 年的时间序列生态研究,使用来自 Datasus 报告的循环系统疾病死亡信息。污染物、颗粒物、二氧化硫 (SO2)、臭氧、温度和湿度的每日数据来自圣保罗州环境署。使用 R 软件通过泊松回归计算 2 至 7 天的移动平均值模型。通过单污染物、双污染物或多污染物模型分析 SO2 暴露情况,调整平均温度和湿度。使用 95%CI 获得相对风险,计算风险降低的百分比。有 1928 例死亡,每日平均(±SD)为 1.05±1.03(范围:0-6)。暴露于 SO2 与循环系统疾病死亡率显著相关:7 天移动平均值调整臭氧后 RR = 1.04(95%CI = 1.01 至 1.06)。多污染物模型中风险降低了 8.5%,与 SO2 浓度降低成正比。本研究结果表明,具有与圣若泽·多斯坎波斯市类似特征的中型巴西城市的居民可能因暴露于空气污染物而出现健康问题。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4b7f/3854161/0853e8fb098b/0100-879X-bjmbr-45-11-1080-gf01.jpg

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