Kidane A
Faculty of Science, University of Addis Ababa.
Scand J Soc Med. 1990 Dec;18(4):281-6. doi: 10.1177/140349489001800409.
A brief summary of famine and drought from a historical perspective is given. In an attempt to estimate the magnitude of deaths due to the 1984-85 famine in Ethiopia, a survey was conducted among the resettled famine victims. The results show that the expected life at birth among the male and female famine victims was 6.2 and 5.7 years, respectively. When compared with the highest mortality rates ever recorded (that is Coale-Demeny, West Model Life Table level 1), the Ethiopian famine induced rate seems to be considerably higher. Regional variations between the two famine affected regions show that mortality in Tigrai was slightly higher than that of Wello. Also prefamine socio-economic differentials between households did not seem to have an effect on mortality. The results suggest that as much as 700,000 excess deaths might have occurred during the 1984-85 famine period in Ethiopia.
本文从历史角度简要总结了饥荒和干旱情况。为估算1984 - 1985年埃塞俄比亚饥荒导致的死亡人数，对重新安置的饥荒受害者进行了一项调查。结果显示，男性和女性饥荒受害者的预期寿命分别为6.2岁和5.7岁。与有记录以来的最高死亡率（即寇尔-德梅尼西方模式生命表第1级）相比，埃塞俄比亚饥荒导致的死亡率似乎要高得多。两个受饥荒影响地区之间的区域差异表明，提格雷的死亡率略高于韦洛。而且家庭灾前的社会经济差异似乎对死亡率没有影响。结果表明，在1984 - 1985年饥荒期间，埃塞俄比亚可能有多达70万人超额死亡。
