West J Emerg Med. 2012 Sep;13(4):376-9. doi: 10.5811/westjem.2011.9.6669.
Emergency physicians (EP) frequently estimate blood loss, which can have implications for clinical care. The objectives of this study were to examine EP accuracy in estimating blood loss on different surfaces and compare attending physician and resident performance.
A sample of 56 emergency department (ED) physicians (30 attending physicians and 26 residents) were asked to estimate the amount of moulage blood present in 4 scenarios: 500 mL spilled onto an ED cot; 25 mL spilled onto a 10-pack of 4 × 4-inch gauze; 100 mL on a T-shirt; and 150 mL in a commode filled with water. Standard estimate error (the absolute value of (estimated volume - actual volume)/actual volume × 100) was calculated for each estimate.
The mean standard error for all estimates was 116% with a range of 0% to 1233%. Only 8% of estimates were within 20% of the true value. Estimates were most accurate for the sheet scenario and worst for the commode scenario. Residents and attending physicians did not perform significantly differently (P > 0.05).
Emergency department physicians do not estimate blood loss well in a variety of scenarios. Such estimates could potentially be misleading if used in clinical decision making. Clinical experience does not appear to improve estimation ability in this limited study.
急诊医师(EP)经常需要估算失血量,这可能对临床护理有影响。本研究的目的是检查 EP 在不同表面上估算失血量的准确性,并比较主治医生和住院医生的表现。
对 56 名急诊科(ED)医生(30 名主治医生和 26 名住院医生)进行了抽样调查,要求他们估算 4 种情况下模拟血的量:500 毫升溅到 ED 轮床上;25 毫升溅到 10 片 4×4 英寸的纱布上;100 毫升在 T 恤上;以及 150 毫升在装满水的便盆中。为每个估算值计算了标准估计误差((估计量-实际量)/实际量×100 的绝对值)。
所有估算值的平均标准误差为 116%,范围为 0%至 1233%。只有 8%的估算值在真实值的 20%以内。估计值在床单场景中最准确,在便盆场景中最差。住院医生和主治医生的表现没有显著差异(P>0.05)。
急诊科医生在各种情况下都不能很好地估算失血量。如果在临床决策中使用这些估计值,可能会产生误导。在这项有限的研究中,临床经验似乎并没有提高估计能力。