Arsenic Health Effects Research Program, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, California 94720-7360, USA.
Environ Health Perspect. 2012 Nov;120(11):1527-31. doi: 10.1289/ehp.1104867. Epub 2012 Sep 4.
Beginning in 1958, the city of Antofagasta in northern Chile was exposed to high arsenic concentrations (870 µg/L) when it switched water sources. The exposure abruptly stopped in 1970 when an arsenic-removal plant commenced operations. A unique exposure scenario like this--with an abrupt start, clear end, and large population (125,000 in 1970), all with essentially the same exposure--is rare in environmental epidemiology. Evidence of increased mortality from lung cancer, bronchiectasis, myocardial infarction, and kidney cancer has been reported among young adults who were in utero or children during the high-exposure period.
We investigated other causes of mortality in Antofagasta among 30- to 49-year-old adults who were in utero or ≤ 18 years of age during the high-exposure period.
We compared mortality data between Antofagasta and the rest of Chile for people 30-49 years of age during 1989-2000. We estimated expected deaths from mortality rates in all of Chile, excluding Region II where Antofagasta is located, and calculated standardized mortality ratios (SMRs).
We found evidence of increased mortality from bladder cancer [SMR = 18.1; 95% confidence interval (CI): 11.3, 27.4], laryngeal cancer (SMR = 8.1; 95% CI: 3.5, 16.0), liver cancer (SMR = 2.5; 95% CI: 1.6, 3.7), and chronic renal disease (SMR = 2.0; 95% CI: 1.5, 2.8).
Taking together our findings in the present study and previous evidence of increased mortality from other causes of death, we conclude that arsenic in Antofagasta drinking water has resulted in the greatest increases in mortality in adults < 50 years of age ever associated with early-life environmental exposure.
1958 年起,智利北部城市安托法加斯塔改用高砷水源,水中砷浓度达到 870μg/L。1970 年,除砷工厂投入运行后,暴露情况突然停止。这种暴露情况非常罕见,具有明确的起始和结束时间,且人群数量庞大(1970 年为 125000 人),所有人群暴露情况基本相同。在环境流行病学中,曾有报道称,在高暴露时期处于子宫内或儿童期的年轻人肺癌、支气管扩张、心肌梗死和肾癌死亡率有所增加。
本研究调查了安托法加斯塔市 30-49 岁成年人的其他死因,这些人在高暴露时期处于子宫内或≤18 岁。
我们比较了 1989-2000 年 30-49 岁人群在安托法加斯塔和智利其他地区的死亡率数据。我们根据智利所有地区的死亡率来估计预期死亡人数,排除了安托法加斯塔所在的第二大区,并计算了标准化死亡率比(SMR)。
我们发现膀胱癌(SMR=18.1;95%置信区间:11.3,27.4)、喉癌(SMR=8.1;95%置信区间:3.5,16.0)、肝癌(SMR=2.5;95%置信区间:1.6,3.7)和慢性肾病(SMR=2.0;95%置信区间:1.5,2.8)的死亡率有所增加。
综合本研究的结果和先前其他死因死亡率增加的证据,我们得出结论,安托法加斯塔饮用水中的砷导致了与早期环境暴露相关的 50 岁以下成年人死亡率的最大增加。